Games Workshop (UK) Price Prediction
| GAW Stock | 13,730 2,020 17.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.168 | EPS Estimate Current Year 456.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 471.8 | Wall Street Target Price 12.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.138 |
Using Games Workshop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Games Workshop Group from the perspective of Games Workshop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Games Workshop to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Games because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Games Workshop after-hype prediction price | GBX 14234.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Games |
Games Workshop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Games Workshop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Games Workshop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Games Workshop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Games Workshop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Games Workshop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Games Workshop's historical news coverage. Games Workshop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12,357 and 14,237, respectively. We have considered Games Workshop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Games Workshop is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Games Workshop Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Games Workshop Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Games Workshop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Games Workshop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Games Workshop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.50 | 504.70 | 0.07 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13,730 | 14,235 | 3.68 |
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Games Workshop Hype Timeline
Games Workshop Group is currently traded for 13,730on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 504.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Games is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14234.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 0.24%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.68%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Games Workshop is about 1801.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13,730. Games Workshop Group has accumulated 47.2 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Games Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Games Workshop Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Games Workshop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Games Workshop's future price movements. Getting to know how Games Workshop's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Games Workshop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SYME | SupplyMe Capital PLC | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.00 | (20.00) | 53.97 | |
| 0A60 | FuelCell Energy | (1.22) | 4 per month | 16.24 | 0.17 | 14.55 | (14.05) | 2,934 | |
| GVMH | Grand Vision Media | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.41 | |
| DGI | DG Innovate PLC | (0) | 1 per month | 3.33 | (0.01) | 7.59 | (6.41) | 32.25 | |
| IIG | Intuitive Investments Group | 0.50 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.15 | (2.69) | 7.49 | |
| ARB | Argo Blockchain PLC | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.76 | (9.71) | 37.07 |
Games Workshop Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Games price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Games using various technical indicators. When you analyze Games charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Games Workshop Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Games Workshop stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Games Workshop Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Games Workshop based on analysis of Games Workshop hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Games Workshop's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Games Workshop's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Games Workshop
The number of cover stories for Games Workshop depends on current market conditions and Games Workshop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Games Workshop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Games Workshop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Games Workshop Short Properties
Games Workshop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Games Workshop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Games Workshop Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Games Workshop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Games Workshop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Games Stock analysis
When running Games Workshop's price analysis, check to measure Games Workshop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Games Workshop is operating at the current time. Most of Games Workshop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Games Workshop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Games Workshop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Games Workshop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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