Geovax Labs Stock Price Prediction
| GOVX Stock | USD 2.95 0.25 9.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.95) | Wall Street Target Price 14.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.48) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) |
Using GeoVax Labs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GeoVax Labs from the perspective of GeoVax Labs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GeoVax Labs to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GeoVax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GeoVax Labs after-hype prediction price | USD 2.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GeoVax |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GeoVax Labs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GeoVax Labs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GeoVax Labs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GeoVax Labs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GeoVax Labs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GeoVax Labs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GeoVax Labs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GeoVax Labs' historical news coverage. GeoVax Labs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 13.33, respectively. We have considered GeoVax Labs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GeoVax Labs is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GeoVax Labs is based on 3 months time horizon.
GeoVax Labs Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GeoVax Labs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GeoVax Labs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GeoVax Labs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 10.43 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.95 | 2.97 | 0.68 |
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GeoVax Labs Hype Timeline
GeoVax Labs is currently traded for 2.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. GeoVax is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.8%. The volatility of related hype on GeoVax Labs is about 32780.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.98. Net Loss for the year was (25.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 81.53 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out GeoVax Labs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GeoVax Labs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GeoVax Labs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GeoVax Labs' future price movements. Getting to know how GeoVax Labs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GeoVax Labs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
GeoVax Labs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GeoVax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GeoVax using various technical indicators. When you analyze GeoVax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About GeoVax Labs Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GeoVax Labs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GeoVax Labs, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GeoVax Labs based on analysis of GeoVax Labs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GeoVax Labs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GeoVax Labs's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 16.79 | 22.85 | 23.99 | Receivables Turnover | 7.86 | 9.03 | 16.17 |
Story Coverage note for GeoVax Labs
The number of cover stories for GeoVax Labs depends on current market conditions and GeoVax Labs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GeoVax Labs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GeoVax Labs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GeoVax Labs Short Properties
GeoVax Labs' future price predictability will typically decrease when GeoVax Labs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GeoVax Labs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GeoVax Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GeoVax Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Additional Tools for GeoVax Stock Analysis
When running GeoVax Labs' price analysis, check to measure GeoVax Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GeoVax Labs is operating at the current time. Most of GeoVax Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GeoVax Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GeoVax Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GeoVax Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.