Intesa Sanpaolo Spa Stock Price Prediction
| IITSF Stock | USD 4.00 0.21 4.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intesa Sanpaolo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intesa Sanpaolo SpA from the perspective of Intesa Sanpaolo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intesa Sanpaolo to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intesa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intesa Sanpaolo after-hype prediction price | USD 4.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intesa |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intesa Sanpaolo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intesa Sanpaolo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intesa Sanpaolo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intesa Sanpaolo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Intesa Sanpaolo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intesa Sanpaolo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intesa Sanpaolo's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intesa Sanpaolo's historical news coverage. Intesa Sanpaolo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered Intesa Sanpaolo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intesa Sanpaolo is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intesa Sanpaolo SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intesa Sanpaolo Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intesa Sanpaolo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intesa Sanpaolo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intesa Sanpaolo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.88 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
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Intesa Sanpaolo Hype Timeline
Intesa Sanpaolo SpA is currently traded for 4.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Intesa is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intesa Sanpaolo is about 640.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.05. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Intesa Sanpaolo SpA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of May 2023. The firm had 277:258 split on the 23rd of May 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Intesa Sanpaolo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intesa Sanpaolo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intesa Sanpaolo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intesa Sanpaolo's future price movements. Getting to know how Intesa Sanpaolo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intesa Sanpaolo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.15 | 3.72 | (2.11) | 14.18 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.01 | 2.93 | (2.24) | 17.09 | |
| CATC | Cambridge Bancorp | 0.73 | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.05 | 3.56 | (2.51) | 7.89 | |
| EBC | Eastern Bankshares | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 2.40 | (3.21) | 16.64 | |
| HONE | HarborOne Bancorp | 0.1 | 8 per month | 3.04 | (0) | 3.90 | (3.26) | 18.56 | |
| TCBIO | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.92 | (2.11) | 6.09 | |
| IBTX | Independent Bank Group | (1.08) | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 3.09 | (3.04) | 17.98 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 1.71 | 9 per month | 1.30 | 0.09 | 3.28 | (2.39) | 16.36 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | 0.51 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.05 | 2.82 | (2.03) | 17.03 | |
| BOKF | BOK Financial | 4.53 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.07 | 2.66 | (2.18) | 15.50 |
Intesa Sanpaolo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intesa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intesa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intesa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intesa Sanpaolo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intesa Sanpaolo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intesa Sanpaolo based on analysis of Intesa Sanpaolo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intesa Sanpaolo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intesa Sanpaolo's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Intesa Sanpaolo
The number of cover stories for Intesa Sanpaolo depends on current market conditions and Intesa Sanpaolo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intesa Sanpaolo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intesa Sanpaolo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intesa Sanpaolo Short Properties
Intesa Sanpaolo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intesa Sanpaolo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intesa Sanpaolo SpA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intesa Sanpaolo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intesa Sanpaolo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Intesa Pink Sheet analysis
When running Intesa Sanpaolo's price analysis, check to measure Intesa Sanpaolo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intesa Sanpaolo is operating at the current time. Most of Intesa Sanpaolo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intesa Sanpaolo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intesa Sanpaolo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intesa Sanpaolo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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