Macfarlane Group (UK) Price Prediction
| MACF Stock | 105.00 1.00 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1183 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1227 | Wall Street Target Price 142.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using Macfarlane Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macfarlane Group PLC from the perspective of Macfarlane Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macfarlane Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macfarlane because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Macfarlane Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 103.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Macfarlane |
Macfarlane Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macfarlane Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macfarlane Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Macfarlane Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Macfarlane Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macfarlane Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macfarlane Group's historical news coverage. Macfarlane Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.59 and 105.33, respectively. We have considered Macfarlane Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Macfarlane Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macfarlane Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Macfarlane Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macfarlane Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macfarlane Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macfarlane Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.37 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
105.00 | 103.96 | 0.99 |
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Macfarlane Group Hype Timeline
Macfarlane Group PLC is now traded for 105.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Macfarlane is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 103.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 21.08%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Macfarlane Group is about 641.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.97. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Macfarlane Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 12th of September 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 25th of May 1995. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Macfarlane Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Macfarlane Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macfarlane Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macfarlane Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Macfarlane Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macfarlane Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SYME | SupplyMe Capital PLC | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 58.33 | |
| 0KZA | SM Energy Co | (1.59) | 4 per month | 2.53 | (0.04) | 3.69 | (4.09) | 10.37 | |
| 0A60 | FuelCell Energy | (0.44) | 4 per month | 13.08 | 0.12 | 14.59 | (13.87) | 2,660 | |
| GVMH | Grand Vision Media | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.41 | |
| 0KDU | Overstock | 0.40 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.09 | (6.83) | 44.75 | |
| DGI | DG Innovate PLC | 0 | 2 per month | 3.85 | (0.01) | 11.48 | (9.59) | 35.30 | |
| IIG | Intuitive Investments Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.15 | (2.69) | 7.49 | |
| ARB | Argo Blockchain PLC | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.76 | (9.71) | 37.07 |
Macfarlane Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macfarlane price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macfarlane using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macfarlane charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Macfarlane Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Macfarlane Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macfarlane Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Macfarlane Group based on analysis of Macfarlane Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Macfarlane Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macfarlane Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Macfarlane Group
The number of cover stories for Macfarlane Group depends on current market conditions and Macfarlane Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macfarlane Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macfarlane Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Macfarlane Group Short Properties
Macfarlane Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Macfarlane Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Macfarlane Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Macfarlane Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macfarlane Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 M |
Additional Tools for Macfarlane Stock Analysis
When running Macfarlane Group's price analysis, check to measure Macfarlane Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macfarlane Group is operating at the current time. Most of Macfarlane Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macfarlane Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macfarlane Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macfarlane Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.