Merus Bv Stock Price Prediction
| MRUS Stock | USD 44.36 1.43 3.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Merus BV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merus BV from the perspective of Merus BV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merus BV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Merus BV after-hype prediction price | USD 44.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Merus |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Merus BV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Merus BV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merus BV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merus BV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Merus BV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merus BV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merus BV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merus BV's historical news coverage. Merus BV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.26 and 46.46, respectively. We have considered Merus BV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merus BV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merus BV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merus BV Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merus BV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merus BV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merus BV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.36 | 44.36 | 0.00 |
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Merus BV Hype Timeline
Merus BV is now traded for 44.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.16. Merus is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merus BV is about 334.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.20. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Merus BV was now reported as 10.28. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.03. Merus BV had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Merus BV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Merus BV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merus BV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merus BV's future price movements. Getting to know how Merus BV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merus BV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Merus BV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Merus BV Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Merus BV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merus BV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merus BV based on analysis of Merus BV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merus BV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merus BV's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Merus BV
The number of cover stories for Merus BV depends on current market conditions and Merus BV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merus BV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merus BV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Merus BV Short Properties
Merus BV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Merus BV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Merus BV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Merus BV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merus BV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 355.2 M |
Additional Tools for Merus Stock Analysis
When running Merus BV's price analysis, check to measure Merus BV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merus BV is operating at the current time. Most of Merus BV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merus BV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merus BV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merus BV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.