Nightfood Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NGTF Stock | USD 0.01 0.0002 1.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NightFood Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using NightFood Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NightFood Holdings from the perspective of NightFood Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in NightFood Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NightFood Holdings to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NightFood because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NightFood Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NightFood |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NightFood Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NightFood Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NightFood Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NightFood Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of NightFood Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NightFood Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NightFood Holdings' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NightFood Holdings' historical news coverage. NightFood Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.77, respectively. We have considered NightFood Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NightFood Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NightFood Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
NightFood Holdings OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as NightFood Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NightFood Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NightFood Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 7.76 | 0.57 | 0.07 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0.01 | 9.09 |
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NightFood Holdings Hype Timeline
NightFood Holdings is now traded for 0.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. NightFood is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on NightFood Holdings is about 7390.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. NightFood Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out NightFood Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NightFood Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NightFood Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NightFood Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how NightFood Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NightFood Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACOPY | The A2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.22 | (4.23) | 35.61 | |
| AVOZ | Altavoz Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARRT | Artisan Consumer Goods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.79 | (0) | 0.00 | (16.47) | 115.67 | |
| GIS | General Mills | 0.42 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.31 | (2.17) | 4.70 |
NightFood Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NightFood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NightFood using various technical indicators. When you analyze NightFood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NightFood Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NightFood Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NightFood Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NightFood Holdings based on analysis of NightFood Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NightFood Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NightFood Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for NightFood Holdings
The number of cover stories for NightFood Holdings depends on current market conditions and NightFood Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NightFood Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NightFood Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NightFood Holdings Short Properties
NightFood Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when NightFood Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NightFood Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NightFood Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NightFood Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.7 M |
Complementary Tools for NightFood OTC Stock analysis
When running NightFood Holdings' price analysis, check to measure NightFood Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NightFood Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of NightFood Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NightFood Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NightFood Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NightFood Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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