New Pacific Metals Stock Price Prediction
| NUAG Stock | CAD 2.25 0.04 1.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | Wall Street Target Price 6.125 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.60) |
Using New Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Pacific Metals from the perspective of New Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New Pacific after-hype prediction price | CAD 2.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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New Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Pacific's historical news coverage. New Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered New Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Pacific is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Pacific Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 4.10 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.25 | 2.25 | 0.00 |
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New Pacific Hype Timeline
New Pacific Metals is now traded for 2.25on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. New is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on New Pacific is about 3094.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.20. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of New Pacific was now reported as 0.8. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 102.31. New Pacific Metals recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:4 split on the 29th of August 2003. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out New Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how New Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIL | SilverCrest Metals | (0.08) | 2 per month | 2.78 | 0.07 | 8.10 | (4.74) | 14.96 | |
| SKE | Skeena Resources | (0.31) | 3 per month | 2.51 | 0.08 | 5.64 | (3.47) | 20.78 | |
| AOT | Ascot Resources | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 14.29 | (11.11) | 56.82 | |
| OLA | Orla Mining | (0.14) | 3 per month | 2.96 | 0.05 | 5.41 | (4.81) | 19.14 |
New Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About New Pacific Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New Pacific Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Pacific based on analysis of New Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New Pacific's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 4.5 | 4.73 | Price To Sales Ratio | 593.98 | 564.28 |
Story Coverage note for New Pacific
The number of cover stories for New Pacific depends on current market conditions and New Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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New Pacific Short Properties
New Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when New Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Pacific Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.3 M |
Check out New Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.