Nexstar Broadcasting Price Pattern Analysis
| NXST Stock | USD 194.52 -2.69 -1.36% |
Momentum
OversoldOverbought
49 · Impartial
Quarterly Earnings Growth -59.4% | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 25.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.93 | Wall Street Target Price 261.25 |
Headline activity for Nexstar Broadcasting Group is directly compared against price movement for pattern recognition. Attention signals aggregated with market response help identify sentiment regimes. Options and short interest metrics for Nexstar Broadcasting reflect where participants are placing their bets. Short interest trends alongside options flow help contextualize current market sentiment.
Nexstar Broadcasting Current Signal Summary
Nexstar Broadcasting's momentum reading (RSI at 49) sits in neutral territory, while the expected daily return of -0.29% is negative and hype elasticity is negative. Daily volatility at 2.65% is moderate, suggesting a standard range of near-term outcomes. Moderate headline density (6 events/month) reflects steady media coverage. Implied volatility at 1.14% indicates the options market expects relatively contained movement. Overall, momentum, expected return, and sentiment signals are aligned in a cautious direction for Nexstar Broadcasting.
Short Interest Overview for Nexstar Broadcasting
200 Day MA 205.25 | Short Percent 0.07 | Short Ratio 2.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.47 million | 50 Day MA 214.03 |
Nexstar Broadcasting Attention vs Price Pattern
Sentiment signals for Nexstar Broadcasting help frame how attention aligns with price direction. Attention signals are mapped against observed price behavior below.
How sentiment and price correlate for Nexstar Broadcasting reveals whether attention drives or follows price. Attention context across different market periods helps identify recurring sentiment cycles.
Nexstar Broadcasting Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
Nexstar Broadcasting's implied volatility provides a volatility expectation derived from option pricing. The indicator is a neutral reference for expected variability.
Headline intensity and market attention around Nexstar Broadcasting are key inputs for gauging sentiment. The hype profile maps how attention intensity correlates with price movement periods for Nexstar Broadcasting.
Nexstar Broadcasting Post-Event Predicted Price | $ 193.58 |
Attention analysis alongside forecasting, technical studies, and analyst estimates supports better-informed decisions. Earnings estimates and momentum data are integrated into the broader analytical view for the stock.
Rule 16 Overview for the Active Option Cycle
The Rule 16 approximation suggests a daily move near 0.0712% based on implied volatility for 2026-05-15. At current levels near $ 194.52, the daily move estimate is approximately $ 0.14.
The mean reversion principle applied to Nexstar Broadcasting's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Nexstar Broadcasting's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal.
Post-Sentiment Price Density Analysis
Nexstar Broadcasting's return distribution captures the full spectrum of possible outcomes, including tail events. The tails of the Nexstar Broadcasting distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that point estimates ignore.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimated Post-Sentiment Price Volatility
The projected after-hype price range for Nexstar Broadcasting is derived from Nexstar Broadcasting's historical news coverage and market behavior. Nexstar Broadcasting's post-sentiment downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.73 and 196.43, respectively. These boundaries reflect how Nexstar Broadcasting has historically moved in response to comparable catalysts.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Nexstar Broadcasting Group uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. The after-hype estimate is most informative when comparing sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Big price swings in a Company such as Nexstar Broadcasting are not always tied to earnings or company news. Much of a stock's price move comes from press news that has nothing to do with real earnings. Tracking Nexstar Broadcasting's price against earnings and revenue growth shows when momentum parts from the basics.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Sentiment Sensitivity | Peer Sensitivity | News Density | Peer Density | Next Expected Sentiment |
0.29 | 2.65 | 1.82 | 0.08 | 6 Events | 6 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest Traded Price | Expected Post-Event Price | Potential Return on Next Event | Post-Sentiment Volatility | |
194.52 | 193.58 | 0.48 |
|
Market Sentiment Timeline
Nexstar Broadcasting is now traded for 194.52. Nexstar Broadcasting has a historical sentiment sensitivity of -1.82. Peers average a sentiment sensitivity of 0.08. is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 193.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on NXST price is about 42.2%. The price decrease on the next news stands at -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.29%. The volatility of peer sentiment impact on Nexstar Broadcasting is about 969.51%, with the expected peer-implied price after the next announcement near 194.60. About 93.0% of NXST shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of NXST was now reported as 68.06. NXST has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.58. Nexstar Broadcasting had its last dividend issued on the 15th of May 2026. Given a 90-day horizon, the next projected press release will be in 6 days. Nexstar Broadcasting Basic Forecasting Models places Nexstar Broadcasting's projections alongside historical fundamentals.Related Market Sentiment Analysis
Analyzing Nexstar Broadcasting's peer sentiment data reveals which competitors are most likely to influence Nexstar Broadcasting's short-term price. Sentiment elasticity, information ratio, and semi-deviation help contextualize the relative news sensitivity of Nexstar Broadcasting.
| SentimentElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden | 3.53 | 11 per month | 1.38 | 0.1 | 3.15 | -2.02 | 20.20 | |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holding | 1.28 | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.19 | 3.94 | -3.41 | 13.95 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | 0.08 | 9 per month | 2.80 | 0.03 | 5.09 | -4.62 | 13.73 | |
| QMMM | QMMM Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.86 | 0.09 | 3.87 | -2.44 | 12.10 | |
| GSAT | Globalstar Common Stock | 0.03 | 8 per month | 3.34 | 0.13 | 7.58 | -6.52 | 20.83 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | -2.95 | 6 per month | 2.10 | 0.12 | 4.47 | -3.30 | 12.27 | |
| TKC | Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri | -0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.73 | -2.37 | 8.36 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | 0.49 | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 2.95 | -2.92 | 6.13 |
Nexstar Broadcasting Additional Predictive Modules
Statistical forecasting for Nexstar Broadcasting begins with identifying which indicator configurations have historically preceded directional moves. Model confidence should be calibrated against recent prediction accuracy for Nexstar, not just historical fit.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Nexstar Broadcasting evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Crowd optimism can amplify upside swings during momentum regimes. Nexstar Broadcasting has a market cap of 6.02 billion, P/E of 10.03, ROE of 3.83%.
Nexstar Broadcasting Group data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board