Origin Bancorp Price Prediction

OBNKDelisted Stock  USD 28.61  0.95  3.21%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Origin Bancorp's share price is approaching 33. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Origin Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Origin Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Origin Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp from the perspective of Origin Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Origin Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Origin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Origin Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.8125.8131.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.3631.3631.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8328.4630.09
Details

Origin Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Origin Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Origin Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Origin Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Origin Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Origin Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Origin Bancorp's historical news coverage. Origin Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.61 and 28.61, respectively. We have considered Origin Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.61
28.61
After-hype Price
28.61
Upside
Origin Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Origin Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Origin Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Origin Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Origin Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.61
28.61
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Origin Bancorp Hype Timeline

Origin Bancorp is now traded for 28.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Origin is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Origin Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.61. About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.24. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Origin Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Origin Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Origin Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Origin Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Origin Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 2.43 (0.02) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.07 5 per month 0.76 (0.14) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.70  0.01  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 1.89 (0.01) 6.22 (3.53) 14.42 
HBCPHome Bancorp 0.59 9 per month 1.75  0.09  3.76 (3.12) 12.98 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.09)9 per month 1.59  0.08  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares 0.10 6 per month 1.64  0.03  3.05 (3.47) 18.54 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.25  0.03  3.69 (2.95) 8.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.75  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)10 per month 1.07  0.05  2.64 (2.16) 9.14 
FVCBFVCBankcorp 0.09 8 per month 2.24  0.07  5.74 (3.23) 18.16 
ACNBACNB Corporation 0.56 7 per month 2.05  0.07  3.61 (2.90) 24.97 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.06 8 per month 0.44 (0.20) 0.71 (0.65) 4.44 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 4.36 7 per month 1.72  0.04  3.56 (3.32) 19.09 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois(0.77)10 per month 1.53  0.02  3.13 (2.64) 18.64 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services(0.01)8 per month 1.05  0.05  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 

Origin Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Origin Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Origin Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp based on analysis of Origin Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Origin Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Bancorp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Origin Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Origin Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Origin Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Origin Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Origin Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Origin Bancorp Short Properties

Origin Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Origin Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Origin Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Origin Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Origin Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Origin Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Origin Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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