Primerica Stock Price Prediction

PRI Stock  USD 291.28  0.47  0.16%   
The relative strength indicator of Primerica's stock price is under 62 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 31st of January 2025. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primerica, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Primerica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Primerica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Primerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primerica from the perspective of Primerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primerica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Primerica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 291.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Primerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
249.17250.50320.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
282.74284.07285.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
264.80282.37299.93
Details

Primerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Primerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Primerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Primerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primerica's historical news coverage. Primerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 289.95 and 292.61, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
291.28
289.95
Downside
291.28
After-hype Price
292.61
Upside
Primerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primerica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Primerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
291.28
291.28
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Primerica Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January Primerica is traded for 291.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Primerica is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Primerica is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 291.28. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Primerica was at this time reported as 58.1. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. Primerica recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Primerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.

Primerica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Primerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Primerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNOCNO Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 1.27  0.06  2.11 (1.99) 15.48 
AFLAflac Incorporated 0.00 0 per month 1.37 (0.02) 1.49 (2.28) 7.00 
PUKPrudential PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.21 (0.02) 2.61 (3.50) 7.36 
FGFG Annuities Life 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.06  3.84 (4.64) 23.15 
MET-PAMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.11 (0.04) 0.56 (0.49) 2.87 
BHFAPBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.48 (2.22) 6.07 
AELAmerican Equity Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MET-PEMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.83 (0.1) 1.51 (1.17) 4.96 
NWLINational Western Life 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MDWTMidwest Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JXN-PAJackson Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.78 (0.13) 1.10 (1.06) 3.45 
MET-PFMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.99 (1.63) 4.75 
BHFAOBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.37 (1.99) 7.68 

Primerica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Primerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Primerica Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Primerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primerica based on analysis of Primerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primerica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primerica's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Primerica

The number of cover stories for Primerica depends on current market conditions and Primerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Primerica Short Properties

Primerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Complementary Tools for Primerica Stock analysis

When running Primerica's price analysis, check to measure Primerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primerica is operating at the current time. Most of Primerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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