LEGRAND S A Price Prediction

524671AA2   101.79  0.99  0.98%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of LEGRAND's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the bond is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LEGRAND, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LEGRAND's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LEGRAND S A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using LEGRAND hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LEGRAND S A from the perspective of LEGRAND response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LEGRAND to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LEGRAND because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

LEGRAND after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 101.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out LEGRAND Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.7098.90111.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.50102.70102.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.58102.77106.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LEGRAND. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LEGRAND's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LEGRAND's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LEGRAND S A.

LEGRAND After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LEGRAND at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LEGRAND or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of LEGRAND, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LEGRAND Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LEGRAND's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LEGRAND's historical news coverage. LEGRAND's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.59 and 101.99, respectively. We have considered LEGRAND's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
101.79
101.59
Downside
101.79
After-hype Price
101.99
Upside
LEGRAND is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LEGRAND S A is based on 3 months time horizon.

LEGRAND Bond Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as LEGRAND is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LEGRAND backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LEGRAND, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.20
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
101.79
101.79
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

LEGRAND Hype Timeline

LEGRAND S A is at this time traded for 101.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. LEGRAND is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on LEGRAND is about 25.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.81. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out LEGRAND Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

LEGRAND Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LEGRAND's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LEGRAND's future price movements. Getting to know how LEGRAND's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LEGRAND may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

LEGRAND Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LEGRAND price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LEGRAND using various technical indicators. When you analyze LEGRAND charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About LEGRAND Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of LEGRAND stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LEGRAND S A, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LEGRAND based on analysis of LEGRAND hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LEGRAND's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LEGRAND's related companies.

Story Coverage note for LEGRAND

The number of cover stories for LEGRAND depends on current market conditions and LEGRAND's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LEGRAND is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LEGRAND's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in LEGRAND Bond

LEGRAND financial ratios help investors to determine whether LEGRAND Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LEGRAND with respect to the benefits of owning LEGRAND security.