Alumis Cash Flow From Operations vs. Current Valuation

ALMS Stock   19.56  1.38  7.59%   
Based on Alumis' profitability indicators, Alumis Inc may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess Alumis' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. At this time, Alumis' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Company Equity Multiplier is likely to gain to 1.24 in 2026, whereas Operating Cash Flow Per Share is likely to drop (8.51) in 2026. Gross Profit is likely to gain to about (2.7 M) in 2026
For Alumis profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alumis to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alumis Inc utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alumis's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alumis Inc over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alumis' Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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The next projected EPS of Alumis is estimated to be -0.72 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.7975 to a high of -0.6775. Alumis' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -2.15. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alumis Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
Alumis is projected to generate -0.72 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Alumis earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alumis Inc EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alumis' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alumis, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alumis Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Alumis' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Alumis' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alumis. If investors know Alumis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alumis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.15)
Revenue Per Share
0.305
Return On Assets
(0.61)
Return On Equity
(0.67)
The market value of Alumis Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alumis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alumis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alumis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alumis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alumis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alumis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alumis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alumis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alumis Inc Current Valuation vs. Cash Flow From Operations Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Alumis's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Alumis value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Alumis Inc is rated below average in cash flow from operations category among its peers. It is the top company in current valuation category among its peers . Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Alumis by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Alumis Current Valuation vs. Cash Flow From Operations

Operating Cash Flow reveals the quality of a company's reported earnings and is calculated by deducting company's income taxes from earnings before interest, taxes, and depreciation (EBITDA). In other words, Operating Cash Flow refers to the amount of cash a firm generates from the sales or products or from rendering services. Operating Cash Flow typically excludes costs associated with long-term investments or investment in marketable securities and is usually used by investors or analysts to check on the quality of a company's earnings.

Alumis

Operating Cash Flow

 = 

EBITDA

-

Taxes

 = 
(255.08 M)
Operating Cash Flow shows the difference between reported income and actual cash flows of the company. If a firm does not have enough cash or cash equivalents to cover its current liabilities, then both investors and management should be concerned about the company having enough liquid resources to meet current and long term debt obligations.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Alumis

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
2.1 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Alumis Current Valuation vs Competition

Alumis Inc is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Health Care industry is presently estimated at about 6.4 Billion. Alumis totals roughly 2.1 Billion in current valuation claiming about 33% of equities under Health Care industry.

Alumis Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Alumis, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Alumis will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Alumis' change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Alumis, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income46 K48.3 K
Net Interest Income13.8 M14.5 M
Interest Income13.8 M14.5 M
Operating Income-270.7 M-284.2 M
Net Loss-264.8 M-278.1 M
Income Before Tax-264.8 M-278.1 M
Total Other Income Expense Net7.5 M4.3 M
Net Loss-264.8 M-278.1 M
Net Loss(9.34)(9.81)
Income Quality 1.00  0.98 

Alumis Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Alumis. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Alumis position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Alumis' important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Alumis Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Alumis' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alumis is estimated to be -0.72 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.7975 to a high of -0.6775. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alumis Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
-1.06
-0.8
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.72
-0.68
Highest

Alumis Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Alumis' value are higher than the current market price of the Alumis stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alumis is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alumis' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
872.17%
-1.06
-0.72
-2.15

Alumis Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Alumis refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Alumis Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Alumis, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Alumis Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Alumis, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Alumis should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Alumis Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alumis' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-11-13
2025-09-30-1-1.06-0.06
2025-08-13
2025-06-30-1.38750.772.1575155 
2025-05-14
2025-03-31-1.4233-1.82-0.396727 
2025-03-19
2024-12-31-1.32-1.74-0.4231 
2024-11-13
2024-09-30-1.805-1.730.075
2024-08-13
2024-06-30-1.67-1.03870.631337 
2024-05-29
2024-03-310-4.5-4.5

Use Alumis in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alumis position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alumis will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Alumis Pair Trading

Alumis Inc Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alumis could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alumis when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alumis - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alumis Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Alumis is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alumis moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alumis Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alumis can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Alumis position

In addition to having Alumis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis

When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.