Casella Waste Net Income vs. Current Valuation

CWST Stock  USD 90.63  1.29  1.40%   
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Casella Waste's financial statements, Casella Waste Systems is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in April. Profitability indicators assess Casella Waste's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1997-06-30
Previous Quarter
10 M
Current Value
-2.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
17.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Casella Waste's Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Days Sales Outstanding is likely to gain to 53.17 in 2026, whereas Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.12 in 2026. At this time, Casella Waste's Income Before Tax is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Income Tax Expense is likely to gain to about 5.4 M in 2026, despite the fact that Total Other Income Expense Net is likely to grow to (72.3 M). Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 329.1 M in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.01 in 2026
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.260.1706
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.08720.0486
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Casella Waste profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Casella Waste to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Casella Waste Systems utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Casella Waste's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Casella Waste Systems over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Casella Waste's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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The next projected EPS of Casella Waste is estimated to be 0.3934 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.38 to a high of 0.41. Casella Waste's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.12. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Casella Waste Systems is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Casella Waste is projected to generate 0.3934 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Casella Waste earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Casella Waste Systems EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Casella Waste's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Casella Waste, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Casella Waste Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Casella Waste's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Casella Waste's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is there potential for Environmental & Facilities Services market expansion? Will Casella introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Casella Waste. Projected growth potential of Casella fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Casella Waste listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.602
Earnings Share
0.12
Revenue Per Share
28.944
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
Return On Assets
0.0171
Investors evaluate Casella Waste Systems using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Casella Waste's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Casella Waste's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Casella Waste's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Casella Waste should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Casella Waste's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Casella Waste Systems Current Valuation vs. Net Income Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Casella Waste's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Casella Waste value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Casella Waste Systems is rated below average in net income category among its peers. It is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  883.70  of Current Valuation per Net Income. At this time, Casella Waste's Net Income is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Casella Waste by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Casella Current Valuation vs. Net Income

Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

Casella Waste

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
7.87 M
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Casella Waste

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
6.96 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Casella Current Valuation vs Competition

Casella Waste Systems is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Industrials industry is currently estimated at about 87.27 Billion. Casella Waste holds roughly 6.96 Billion in current valuation claiming about 8% of equities under Industrials industry.

Casella Waste Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Casella Waste, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Casella Waste will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Casella Waste's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Casella Waste, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-4 M-4.2 M
Operating Income89.2 M50.4 M
Income Before Tax13.1 M13.7 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-76.1 M-72.3 M
Income Tax Expense5.2 M5.4 M
Net Income7.9 M8.3 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares61 M64.1 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops7.9 M5.5 M
Non Operating Income Net Other3.8 MM
Interest Income9.9 M5.2 M
Net Interest Income-52.6 M-50 M
Change To Netincome22.2 M11.7 M
Net Income Per Share 0.12  0.13 
Income Quality 41.90  43.99 
Net Income Per E B T 0.60  0.57 

Casella Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Casella Waste. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Casella Waste position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Casella Waste's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Casella Waste Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Casella Waste's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Casella Waste is estimated to be 0.3934 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.38 to a high of 0.41. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Casella Waste Systems is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.38
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.3934
0.41
Highest

Casella Waste Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Casella Waste's value are higher than the current market price of the Casella Waste stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Casella Waste is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Casella Waste's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1171.49%
0.0
0.3934
0.12

Casella Waste Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Casella Waste Systems analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Casella Waste's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we suggest analyzing not only Casella Waste's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Casella Waste Quarterly Gross Profit

76.72 Million

At this time, Casella Waste's Earnings Yield is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 829.15 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop (131.4 M) in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 64.1 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 36.9 M in 2026.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Casella Waste's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.9991.8793.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.73104.78106.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.6488.5290.40
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
104.20114.50127.10
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Casella assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Casella Waste. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Casella Waste's stock price in the short term.

Casella Waste Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Casella Waste refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Casella Waste Systems predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Casella Waste, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Casella Waste Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Casella Waste, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Casella Waste should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Casella Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Casella Waste's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
2026-02-19
2025-12-310.24790.30.052121 
2025-10-29
2025-09-300.320.420.131 
2025-07-31
2025-06-300.330.360.03
2025-05-01
2025-03-310.10.190.0990 
2025-02-12
2024-12-310.160.410.25156 
2024-10-30
2024-09-300.280.27-0.01
2024-08-01
2024-06-300.280.22-0.0621 
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2024-02-15
2023-12-310.160.13-0.0318 
2023-11-01
2023-09-300.390.35-0.0410 
2023-07-27
2023-06-300.370.36-0.01
2023-04-27
2023-03-310.090.10.0111 
2023-02-16
2022-12-310.230.18-0.0521 
2022-10-27
2022-09-300.360.450.0925 
2022-07-28
2022-06-300.280.360.0828 
2022-04-28
2022-03-310.10.110.0110 
2022-02-17
2021-12-310.180.210.0316 
2021-10-28
2021-09-300.260.340.0830 
2021-07-29
2021-06-300.240.250.01
2021-04-29
2021-03-310.050.090.0480 
2021-02-18
2020-12-310.140.170.0321 
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.290.370.0827 
2020-08-03
2020-06-300.060.270.21350 
2020-05-07
2020-03-31-0.020.050.07350 
2020-02-20
2019-12-310.210.210.0
2019-10-31
2019-09-300.330.370.0412 
2019-08-01
2019-06-300.260.270.01
2019-04-30
2019-03-31-0.03-0.010.0266 
2019-02-21
2018-12-310.110.09-0.0218 
2018-11-01
2018-09-300.320.3-0.02
2018-08-02
2018-06-300.230.22-0.01
2018-05-03
2018-03-31-0.01-0.0923-0.0823823 
2018-03-01
2017-12-310.120.11-0.01
2017-11-01
2017-09-300.250.30.0520 
2017-08-02
2017-06-300.230.250.02
2017-05-04
2017-03-31-0.07-0.010.0685 
2017-03-01
2016-12-31-0.07-0.26-0.19271 
2016-11-03
2016-09-300.110.180.0763 
2016-07-28
2016-06-300.050.120.07140 
2016-05-04
2016-03-31-0.25-0.190.0624 
2016-03-01
2015-12-31-0.03-0.17-0.14466 
2015-10-23
2015-09-300.080.06-0.0225 
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.010.030.02200 
2015-05-06
2015-03-31-0.19-0.34-0.1578 
2015-02-25
2014-12-31-0.12-0.090.0325 
2014-12-04
2014-09-300.010.010.0
2014-08-27
2014-06-300-0.1664-0.1664
2014-06-25
2014-03-31-0.16-0.140.0212 
2014-03-05
2013-12-31-0.15-0.25-0.166 
2013-12-05
2013-09-30-0.01-0.00850.001515 
2013-08-28
2013-06-30-0.06-0.020.0466 
2013-06-26
2013-03-31-0.22-0.220.0
2013-03-04
2012-12-31-0.16-0.090.0743 
2012-12-03
2012-09-30-0.14-0.18-0.0428 
2012-08-29
2012-06-30-0.24-0.31-0.0729 
2012-06-27
2012-03-31-0.37-0.30.0718 
2012-02-29
2011-12-31-0.25-0.32-0.0728 
2011-11-30
2011-09-300.02-0.03-0.05250 
2011-08-29
2011-06-30-0.16-0.120.0425 
2011-06-15
2011-03-31-0.330.630.96290 
2011-03-01
2010-12-31-0.21-0.24-0.0314 
2010-12-01
2010-09-30-0.08-0.040.0450 
2010-09-01
2010-06-30-0.170.030.2117 
2010-06-07
2010-03-31-0.25-0.230.02
2010-03-02
2009-12-31-0.25-0.170.0832 
2009-12-02
2009-09-30-0.12-0.060.0650 
2009-06-15
2009-03-31-0.07-0.030.0457 
2009-03-04
2008-12-31-0.08-0.15-0.0787 
2008-12-03
2008-09-300.090.08-0.0111 
2008-09-03
2008-06-300.030.080.05166 
2008-06-18
2008-03-31-0.22-0.180.0418 
2008-03-05
2007-12-31-0.13-0.15-0.0215 
2007-12-05
2007-09-300.040.140.1250 
2007-09-05
2007-06-30-0.020.070.09450 
2007-06-18
2007-03-31-0.04-0.07-0.0375 
2006-12-06
2006-09-300.020.060.04200 
2006-09-06
2006-06-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2006-06-19
2006-03-31-0.010.070.08800 
2006-03-08
2005-12-310.010.020.01100 
2005-12-07
2005-09-300.110.130.0218 
2005-09-07
2005-06-300.090.090.0
2005-06-22
2005-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2005-03-09
2004-12-310.030.02-0.0133 
2004-12-08
2004-09-300.10.110.0110 
2004-09-08
2004-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
2004-06-23
2004-03-310.01-0.04-0.05500 
2004-03-10
2003-12-310.030.030.0
2003-12-03
2003-09-300.160.20.0425 
2003-09-10
2003-06-300.120.11-0.01
2003-03-05
2002-12-310.060.060.0
2002-12-04
2002-09-300.110.130.0218 
2002-09-04
2002-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
2002-06-30
2002-03-310.020.030.0150 
2002-03-06
2001-12-310.040.040.0
2001-12-05
2001-09-300.080.10.0225 
2001-09-06
2001-06-300.090.05-0.0444 
2001-06-28
2001-03-31-0.01-0.07-0.06600 
2000-12-05
2000-09-300.040.0154-0.024661 
2000-08-31
2000-06-300.190.14-0.0526 
2000-06-28
2000-03-310.170.190.0211 
2000-03-09
1999-12-310.120.140.0216 
1999-12-01
1999-09-300.30.29-0.01
1999-09-01
1999-06-300.250.250.0
1999-06-23
1999-03-310.180.190.01
1999-03-03
1998-12-310.150.160.01
1998-12-02
1998-09-300.190.20.01
1998-08-26
1998-06-300.160.170.01
1998-06-23
1998-03-310.10.06-0.0440 
1998-03-04
1997-12-310.090.08-0.0111 

Use Casella Waste in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Casella Waste position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Casella Waste will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Casella Waste Pair Trading

Casella Waste Systems Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Casella Waste could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Casella Waste when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Casella Waste - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Casella Waste Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Casella Waste is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Casella Waste moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Casella Waste Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Casella Waste can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Casella Waste position

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Did You Try This Idea?

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Healthcare
Healthcare Theme
Companies that provide healthcare goods and services including hospitals, health maintenance organizations, HMOs, or medical aid manufacturers. The Healthcare theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Casella Stock Analysis

When running Casella Waste's price analysis, check to measure Casella Waste's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Casella Waste is operating at the current time. Most of Casella Waste's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Casella Waste's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Casella Waste's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Casella Waste to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.