Microsoft Profitability Analysis

MSFT Stock  USD 472.85  0.00  0.00%   
Based on Microsoft's profitability indicators, Microsoft's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Microsoft's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
27.2 B
Current Value
27.7 B
Quarterly Volatility
6.7 B
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 6.58 in 2026. Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop to 52.97 in 2026. At this time, Microsoft's Interest Income is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Change To Netincome is likely to gain to about 2 B in 2026, whereas Income Quality is likely to drop 1.18 in 2026. At this time, Microsoft's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.86 in 2026, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.42 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.860.79
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.220.33
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.290.41
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.420.5
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.20.19
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.240.27
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For Microsoft profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Microsoft to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Microsoft utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Microsoft's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Microsoft over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Microsoft's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Correlation Analysis.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.The next projected EPS of Microsoft is estimated to be 3.91 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.41 to a high of 4.1152. Microsoft's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 14.05. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Microsoft is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Microsoft is projected to generate 3.91 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Microsoft earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Microsoft EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Microsoft's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Microsoft, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Microsoft Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Microsoft's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Microsoft's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.127
Dividend Share
3.4
Earnings Share
14.05
Revenue Per Share
39.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.184
The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Microsoft Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Microsoft's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Microsoft value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Microsoft is regarded fourth in return on equity category among its peers. It is regarded fifth in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.45  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Microsoft is roughly  2.20 . At this time, Microsoft's Return On Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Microsoft by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Microsoft Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

Microsoft

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.32
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

Microsoft

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.15
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

Microsoft Return On Asset Comparison

Microsoft is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

Microsoft Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Microsoft, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Microsoft will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Microsoft's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Microsoft, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-3 B-2.9 B
Operating Income147.8 B155.2 B
Income Before Tax142.2 B149.3 B
Total Other Income Expense Net-4.4 B-4.2 B
Net Income117.1 B123 B
Income Tax Expense25.1 B26.3 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares117.1 B123 B
Net Income From Continuing Ops117.1 B123 B
Non Operating Income Net Other382.9 M605.6 M
Net Interest Income301.3 M316.4 M
Interest Income882 M1.7 B
Change To Netincome1.3 BB
Net Income Per Share 12.33  12.95 
Income Quality 1.20  1.18 
Net Income Per E B T 0.74  0.58 

Microsoft Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Microsoft. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Microsoft position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Microsoft's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Microsoft Profitability Trends

Microsoft profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that Microsoft's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is Microsoft's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

Microsoft Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between Microsoft different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Microsoft in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down Microsoft's future profitability.

Microsoft Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Microsoft's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Microsoft is estimated to be 3.91 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.41 to a high of 4.1152. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Microsoft is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.72
3.41
Lowest
Expected EPS
3.91
4.12
Highest

Microsoft Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Microsoft's value are higher than the current market price of the Microsoft stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Microsoft is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Microsoft's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
5795.19%
3.72
3.91
14.05

Microsoft Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Microsoft analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Microsoft's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Microsoft's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Microsoft Quarterly Gross Profit

53.63 Billion

At this time, Microsoft's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to gain to about 101.8 B in 2026, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 32.32 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 7.1 B in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 123 B in 2026.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
471.91473.09474.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
425.65556.16557.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
461.82463.00464.18
Details
61 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
566.49622.51690.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microsoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microsoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microsoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microsoft. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Microsoft assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Microsoft. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Microsoft's stock price in the short term.

Microsoft Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Microsoft refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Microsoft predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Microsoft, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Microsoft Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Microsoft, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Microsoft should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Microsoft Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Microsoft's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-10-29
2025-09-303.663.720.06
2025-07-30
2025-06-303.383.650.27
2025-04-30
2025-03-313.223.460.24
2025-01-29
2024-12-313.13.230.13
2024-10-30
2024-09-303.113.30.19
2024-07-30
2024-06-302.932.950.02
2024-04-25
2024-03-312.822.940.12
2024-01-30
2023-12-312.782.930.15
2023-10-24
2023-09-302.652.990.3412 
2023-07-25
2023-06-302.552.690.14
2023-04-25
2023-03-312.232.450.22
2023-01-24
2022-12-312.292.320.03
2022-10-25
2022-09-302.32.350.05
2022-07-26
2022-06-302.292.23-0.06
2022-04-26
2022-03-312.192.220.03
2022-01-25
2021-12-312.312.480.17
2021-10-26
2021-09-302.072.270.2
2021-07-27
2021-06-301.922.170.2513 
2021-04-27
2021-03-311.781.950.17
2021-01-26
2020-12-311.642.030.3923 
2020-10-27
2020-09-301.541.820.2818 
2020-07-22
2020-06-301.341.460.12
2020-04-29
2020-03-311.261.40.1411 
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.321.510.1914 
2019-10-23
2019-09-301.251.380.1310 
2019-07-18
2019-06-301.211.370.1613 
2019-04-24
2019-03-3111.140.1414 
2019-01-30
2018-12-311.091.10.01
2018-10-24
2018-09-300.961.140.1818 
2018-07-19
2018-06-301.081.130.05
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.850.950.111 
2018-01-31
2017-12-310.860.960.111 
2017-10-26
2017-09-300.720.840.1216 
2017-07-20
2017-06-300.710.980.2738 
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.70.730.03
2017-01-26
2016-12-310.790.840.05
2016-10-20
2016-09-300.680.760.0811 
2016-07-19
2016-06-300.580.690.1118 
2016-04-21
2016-03-310.640.62-0.02
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.710.780.07
2015-10-22
2015-09-300.590.670.0813 
2015-07-21
2015-06-300.560.60.04
2015-04-23
2015-03-310.510.610.119 
2015-01-26
2014-12-310.710.750.04
2014-10-23
2014-09-300.490.540.0510 
2014-07-22
2014-06-300.60.55-0.05
2014-04-24
2014-03-310.630.680.05
2014-01-23
2013-12-310.680.780.114 
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.540.620.0814 
2013-07-18
2013-06-300.750.66-0.0912 
2013-04-18
2013-03-310.680.720.04
2013-01-24
2012-12-310.750.760.01
2012-10-18
2012-09-300.560.53-0.03
2012-07-19
2012-06-300.620.670.05
2012-04-19
2012-03-310.570.60.03
2012-01-19
2011-12-310.760.780.02
2011-10-20
2011-09-300.680.680.0
2011-07-21
2011-06-300.580.690.1118 
2011-04-28
2011-03-310.560.610.05
2011-01-27
2010-12-310.680.770.0913 
2010-10-28
2010-09-300.550.620.0712 
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.460.510.0510 
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.420.450.03
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.590.740.1525 
2009-10-23
2009-09-300.320.40.0825 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.360.360.0
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.390.390.0
2009-01-22
2008-12-310.490.47-0.02
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.470.480.01
2008-07-17
2008-06-300.470.46-0.01
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.440.470.03
2008-01-24
2007-12-310.460.50.04
2007-10-25
2007-09-300.390.450.0615 
2007-07-19
2007-06-300.390.390.0
2007-04-26
2007-03-310.460.490.03
2007-01-25
2006-12-310.230.260.0313 
2006-10-26
2006-09-300.310.350.0412 
2006-07-20
2006-06-300.30.310.01
2006-04-27
2006-03-310.330.32-0.01
2006-01-26
2005-12-310.330.330.0
2005-10-27
2005-09-300.30.310.01
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.310.320.01
2005-04-28
2005-03-310.320.320.0
2005-01-27
2004-12-310.330.350.02
2004-10-21
2004-09-300.30.310.01
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.290.28-0.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.290.340.0517 
2004-01-22
2003-12-310.30.340.0413 
2003-10-23
2003-09-300.290.30.01
2003-07-17
2003-06-300.240.23-0.01
2003-04-15
2003-03-310.240.270.0312 
2003-01-16
2002-12-310.230.270.0417 
2002-10-17
2002-09-300.210.280.0733 
2002-07-18
2002-06-300.210.210.0
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.250.250.0
2002-01-17
2001-12-310.210.250.0419 
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.20.220.0210 
2001-07-19
2001-06-300.210.220.01
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.210.220.01
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.230.240.01
2000-10-18
2000-09-300.210.230.02
2000-07-18
2000-06-300.210.220.01
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.20.220.0210 
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.210.240.0314 
1999-10-19
1999-09-300.170.190.0211 
1999-07-19
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
1999-04-20
1999-03-310.160.190.0318 
1999-01-19
1998-12-310.150.180.0320 
1998-10-20
1998-09-300.120.140.0216 
1998-07-16
1998-06-300.120.130.01
1998-04-22
1998-03-310.120.130.01
1998-01-21
1997-12-310.10.110.0110 
1997-10-20
1997-09-300.090.090.0
1997-07-17
1997-06-300.10.10.0
1997-04-17
1997-03-310.080.10.0225 
1997-01-17
1996-12-310.060.070.0116 
1996-10-21
1996-09-300.060.060.0
1996-07-22
1996-06-300.050.050.0
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.050.060.0120 

Use Microsoft in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Microsoft position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Microsoft will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Microsoft Pair Trading

Microsoft Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Microsoft could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Microsoft when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Microsoft - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Microsoft to buy it.
The correlation of Microsoft is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Microsoft moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Microsoft moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Microsoft can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Microsoft position

In addition to having Microsoft in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Currency Funds
Currency Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in a single currency or combination of currencies from different countries in order to replicate respective foreign exchange markets. The Currency Funds theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Currency Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis

When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.