Histogen Stock Analysis

HSTO Stock  USD 0.02  0.01  25.65%   
Histogen is undervalued with Real Value of 0.51 and Target Price of 2.0. The main objective of Histogen stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Histogen is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Histogen's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Histogen stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Histogen is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Histogen Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Histogen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in Histogen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Histogen guide.

Histogen Stock Analysis Notes

The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Histogen recorded a loss per share of 2.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of June 2022. Histogen Inc., a clinical-stage therapeutics company, focuses on developing proprietary hypoxia-generated growth factor technology platform and stem cell-free biologic products. Histogen Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Histogen operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 22 people. To learn more about Histogen call Susan Knudson at 858 526 3100 or check out https://www.histogen.com.

Histogen Quarterly Total Revenue

5,000

Histogen Investment Alerts

Histogen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Histogen has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Histogen has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Histogen has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.38 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.25 M).
Histogen currently holds about 12.6 M in cash with (10.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Histogen has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Histogen Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Histogen to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
9th of November 2023
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
30th of September 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
30th of June 2023
Last Quarter Report
View

Histogen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Histogen's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-03-09
2022-12-31-0.79-0.610.1822 
2022-11-10
2022-09-30-1.26-1.010.2519 
2023-11-09
2023-09-30-0.54-0.9-0.3666 
View All Earnings Estimates

Histogen Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Highlander Capital Management Llc2024-03-31
17.0
Note, although Histogen's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Histogen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 85.44 K.

Histogen Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.64)(0.67)
Return On Capital Employed(0.69)(0.72)
Return On Assets(0.64)(0.67)
Return On Equity(0.85)(0.89)

Management Efficiency

Histogen has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.5381) % which means that it has lost $0.5381 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.1989) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Histogen's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Histogen manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 23rd of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.67. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.72. At this time, Histogen's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of November 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 6.8 M, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop about 11.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.79  4.55 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.79  4.55 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 0.41  0.43 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.21  0.20 
Enterprise Value Multiple 0.41  0.43 
Price Fair Value 0.21  0.20 
Enterprise Value-5.5 M-5.3 M
Understanding the operational decisions made by Histogen management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
(705.00)
Beta
1.118
Return On Assets
(0.54)
Return On Equity
(1.20)

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of November, Histogen retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), market risk adjusted performance of 1.19, and Standard Deviation of 13.17. Histogen technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Histogen Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Histogen middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Histogen. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Histogen Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Histogen insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Histogen's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Histogen insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Histogen Outstanding Bonds

Histogen issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Histogen uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Histogen bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Histogen has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Histogen Predictive Daily Indicators

Histogen intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Histogen stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Histogen Forecast Models

Histogen's time-series forecasting models are one of many Histogen's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Histogen's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Histogen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Histogen prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Histogen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Histogen. By using and applying Histogen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Histogen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(2.54)(2.67)
Operating Profit Margin(2.54)(2.67)
Net Loss(2.54)(2.66)
Gross Profit Margin 0.87  0.90 

Current Histogen Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Histogen analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Histogen analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.0Strong Buy1Odds
Histogen current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Histogen analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Histogen stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Histogen, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Histogen conference calls.
Histogen Analyst Advice Details

Histogen Stock Analysis Indicators

Histogen stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Histogen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Histogen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Histogen stock analysis, traders can identify Histogen position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow15 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity14.4 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.5 M
Cash12.1 M
Accounts Payable382 K
Net Debt-7.5 M
50 Day M A0.2132
Total Current Liabilities1.2 M
Non Current Assets Total5.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other523 K
Stock Based Compensation533 K
When determining whether Histogen offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Histogen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Histogen Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Histogen Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Histogen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in Histogen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Histogen guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Histogen. If investors know Histogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Histogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.81)
Revenue Per Share
0.004
Return On Assets
(0.54)
Return On Equity
(1.20)
The market value of Histogen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Histogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Histogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Histogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Histogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Histogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Histogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Histogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Histogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.