Real Good Food Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

RGF Stock  USD 0.26  0.02  7.92%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Real Good Food. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Real Good over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Real Good's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Real Good's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.57
Alpha
(0.79)
Risk
6.67
Sharpe Ratio
(0.10)
Expected Return
(0.69)
Please note that although Real Good alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Real Good did 0.79  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Real Good Food stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Real Good Food has a beta of 0.57  . As returns on the market increase, Real Good's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Real Good is expected to be smaller as well. At this time, Real Good's Price Book Value Ratio is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. The Real Good's current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 1.10, while Book Value Per Share is projected to decrease to (1.24).

Enterprise Value

77.18 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Real Good Backtesting, Real Good Valuation, Real Good Correlation, Real Good Hype Analysis, Real Good Volatility, Real Good History and analyze Real Good Performance.

Real Good Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Real Good market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Real Good long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Real Good. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Real Good's performance over market.
α-0.79   β0.57

Real Good expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Real Good's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Real Good performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Real Good Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Real Good stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Real Good shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Real Good stock market price indicators, traders can identify Real Good position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Real Good Return and Market Media

The median price of Real Good for the period between Sat, Aug 24, 2024 and Fri, Nov 22, 2024 is 0.36 with a coefficient of variation of 16.47. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.06, arithmetic mean of 0.36, and mean deviation of 0.05. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Disposition of 4246 shares by Strand Equity Partners Iii, Llc of Real Good at 4.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
08/30/2024
2
Acquisition by Nelson Mark Joseph of 43536 shares of Real Good subject to Rule 16b-3
09/11/2024
3
The Real Good Food Company Receives Nasdaq Notice Regarding Potential Delisting
09/18/2024
4
Disposition of 60000 shares by Hussman Timothy K. of Real Good subject to Rule 16b-3
09/20/2024
5
The Real Good Food Company Announces Debt Refinancing Transactions with PMC Financial Services and Emblem Investments Fund I, LP
09/26/2024
6
Disposition of 200000 shares by Strand Equity Partners Iii, Llc of Real Good subject to Rule 16b-3
09/27/2024
7
Disposition of 25000 shares by Awm Investment Company, Inc. of Real Good at 4.0053 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/09/2024
8
Borealis Foods vs. Real Good Food Financial Comparison
10/10/2024
9
Disposition of 4333 shares by Bryan Freeman of Real Good subject to Rule 16b-3
11/08/2024
10
Real Good Food amends bylaws, issues preferred stock
11/19/2024

About Real Good Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Real or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Real Good Food has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover4.855.486.38.28
Days Of Inventory On Hand82.22112.28101.0575.63

Real Good Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Real Good's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Real Good's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Real Good's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Real Good. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Real Good's management manipulating its earnings.
25th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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10th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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25th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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When determining whether Real Good Food is a strong investment it is important to analyze Real Good's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Real Good's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Real Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Real Good technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Real Good technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Real Good trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...