Truecar Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

TRUE Stock  USD 4.14  0.09  2.13%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as TrueCar. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in TrueCar over a specified time horizon. Remember, high TrueCar's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to TrueCar's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.89
Alpha
0.38
Risk
2.94
Sharpe Ratio
0.2
Expected Return
0.6
Please note that although TrueCar alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, TrueCar did 0.38  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of TrueCar stock's relative risk over its benchmark. TrueCar has a beta of 1.89  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TrueCar will likely underperform. At present, TrueCar's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Fair Value is expected to grow to 3.62, whereas Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is forecasted to decline to (5.52).

Enterprise Value

84.17 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out TrueCar Backtesting, TrueCar Valuation, TrueCar Correlation, TrueCar Hype Analysis, TrueCar Volatility, TrueCar History and analyze TrueCar Performance.
For information on how to trade TrueCar Stock refer to our How to Trade TrueCar Stock guide.

TrueCar Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. TrueCar market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding TrueCar long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in TrueCar. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate TrueCar's performance over market.
α0.38   β1.89

TrueCar expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of TrueCar's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how TrueCar performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

TrueCar Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how TrueCar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TrueCar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying TrueCar stock market price indicators, traders can identify TrueCar position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TrueCar Return and Market Media

The median price of TrueCar for the period between Wed, Aug 28, 2024 and Tue, Nov 26, 2024 is 3.53 with a coefficient of variation of 12.07. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.43, arithmetic mean of 3.55, and mean deviation of 0.38. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Acquisition by Swart Jeff of 84211 shares of TrueCar subject to Rule 16b-3
09/06/2024
2
Disposition of 20380 shares by Jantoon Reigersman of TrueCar at 3.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/13/2024
3
Disposition of 577 shares by Luong Teresa of TrueCar at 2.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/18/2024
4
Bumble versus TrueCar Head to Head Contrast
10/15/2024
5
B. Riley Forecasts TrueCars Q3 Earnings
10/30/2024
6
TrueCar Q3 2024 Earnings Preview
11/05/2024
7
TrueCar Inc Q3 2024 Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
11/06/2024
8
TrueCar Reports Q3 Earnings What Key Metrics Have to Say
11/07/2024
9
TrueCar Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Revenue Surge and Strategic Innovations ...
11/08/2024
10
TrueCar, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
11/11/2024
11
Disposition of 1929 shares by Jantoon Reigersman of TrueCar at 4.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/15/2024
12
When Should You Buy TrueCar, Inc.
11/25/2024

About TrueCar Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including TrueCar or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in TrueCar has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding26.3244.0748.57
PTB Ratio1.01.943.62

TrueCar Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of TrueCar's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, TrueCar's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of TrueCar's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of TrueCar. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of TrueCar's management manipulating its earnings.
28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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When determining whether TrueCar is a strong investment it is important to analyze TrueCar's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TrueCar's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TrueCar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
TrueCar technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of TrueCar technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of TrueCar trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...