Today article will break down Aemetis. I will analyze why it could be a much better year for Aemetis shareholders. Aemetis moves slightly opposite to market. The returns on the market and returns on Aemetis appear slightly correlated for the last few months. Weak basic indicators of the company may also suggest signs of long term losses for the company investors. Aemetis shows prevailing Real Value of $1.406361 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.02. the firm appears to be undervalued. Macroaxis approximates value of Aemetis from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 16.20%, Current Valuation of 192.51M and Profit Margin of (17.41)% as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor to go long with undervalued instruments and to trade away overvalued instruments since at some point assets prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
This firm average rating is Hold from 1 analysts. As of 17 of February Aemetis shows Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2859, Mean Deviation of 6.7 and Downside Deviation of 8.7. Aemetis technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm future prices. In plain English you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum or the prices will eventually revert. We found nineteen technical drivers for Aemetis which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm AemetisDownside Deviation, Treynor Ratio as well as the relationship between Treynor Ratio and Expected Short fall to decide if Aemetis is priced correctly providing market reflects its regular price of 1.02 per share. Given that Aemetis is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its Total Risk Alpha.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aemetis. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Aemetis stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Aemetis's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aemetis's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Aemetis, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Aemetis price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aemetis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Analyzing Aemetis competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Aemetis across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Aemetis Competition Details
How important is Aemetis's Liquidity
Aemetis financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Aemetis ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Aemetis financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Aemetis' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Aemetis' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Aemetis's total debt and its cash.
Aemetis Gross Profit
Aemetis Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Aemetis previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Aemetis Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Aemetis' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Detailed Perspective On Aemetis
The latest price spikes of Aemetis could raise concerns from investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 1.0 on 50592.000 in volume. The company directors and management were quite successful positioning the firm components to exploit market volatility in March 2019. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 9.3131. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earning reports from some ot the Aemetis partners. Aemetis retains market capitalization of 21.97m. Aemetis is selling for under 1.02. That is 4.08 percent increase. Started trading at 1.02. Aemetis Operating Expenses is increasing over the last 5 years. Further, Aemetis Net Income to Non Controlling Interests is increasing over the last 4 years. The current value of Aemetis Net Income to Non Controlling Interests is 171,365.
Taking everything into account, we believe that at this point Aemetis is undervalued with below average chance of bankruptcy within the next 2 years. Our concluding Buy/Hold/Sell recommendation on the company is Strong Sell.
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Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Aemetis. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.
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