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Should you trade more of MYSZ (USA Stocks:MYSZ) based on current volatility?

December 24, 2024  By
My Size Inc. (MYSZ), a player in the Software - Application sector, has been catching the eye of investors with its recent stock price fluctuations. With a market value of $4.2 and a real value pegged at $3.32, the stock's current valuation suggests a potential opportunity for those willing to navigate its volatility. The company's fiscal year wraps up in December, and as we approach this period, the stock's rate of daily change at 0.88 indicates a dynamic trading environment. Despite a loss in recent financials, analysts maintain a "Buy" consensus, with target prices ranging from $2.73 to $3.33. This mix of factors presents a compelling case for investors considering whether now might be the right moment to engage with MYSZ's unpredictable yet intriguing market behavior. My Size is offering a daily expected return of 3.52%, but with a hefty risk of 28.03% over the next 90 days. As excitement builds around the software sector, it's important to take a closer look at what My Size shareholders might expect in January. Given the current risk factors, we believe the stock is overvalued, with its true value nearing $3.32 per share. Investors should be cautious and consider these factors before making decisions.
Published a day ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

My Size has liabilities totaling $694K and a Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, indicating limited use of borrowing. The company's current ratio stands at 3.73, showing it has ample liquidity to meet its financial obligations. When evaluating My Size's debt, it's important to consider its cash and equity positions. The company has a performance score of 9 out of 100 and a Beta of 6.71, suggesting significant market risk. This means My Size could outperform in a rising market but may underperform if the market declines. To assess potential returns, consider metrics like downside deviation, Treynor ratio, expected shortfall, and the relationship between Jensen alpha and potential upside.

Important Takeaways

Trading My Size Inc. (MYSZ) stock offers a unique opportunity for investors who are keen on leveraging volatility. With a standard deviation of 27.43, MYSZ demonstrates significant price fluctuations, making it a potentially lucrative choice for those who can navigate its ups and downs effectively. However, it's essential to be mindful of the risks, as the stock has experienced a maximum drawdown of 33.69, indicating substantial price declines at times. For those with a strategic mindset and a tolerance for risk, MYSZ's volatility could present an intriguing avenue for profit.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of My Size or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of My Size may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to MYSZ's beta indicator, it measures the risk of My Size and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of My Size fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is My Size's Liquidity

My Size financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance My Size ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. My Size financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to My Size's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of My Size's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between My Size's total debt and its cash.

How does MYSZ utilize its cash?

My Size reported Net Loss of (6.38 Million) in 2023. To perform a cash flow analysis of My Size, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash My Size is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The My Size cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

My Size Gross Profit

My Size Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing My Size previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show My Size Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check My Size's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

My Size Volatility Drivers

My Size unsystematic risk is unique to My Size and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in My Size you can also buy Powerbridge Technologies Co. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the information technology sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing My Size important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in My Size income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about MYSZ volatility.
-0.670.610.42
-0.670.01-0.14
0.610.010.82
0.42-0.140.82
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Another Deeper Perspective

The firm reported the previous year's revenue of 7 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131 K.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number209.5381.7777.68
Receivables Turnover1.885.015.26
Volatility can be both a challenge and an opportunity, and My Size Inc. (MYSZ) is currently a prime example of this dual nature.
With a standard deviation of 27.43, the stock exhibits significant price fluctuations, which can be daunting for some investors but attractive for those seeking short-term gains. The company's financials reveal a current ratio of 3.81X, indicating a solid liquidity position despite the high probability of bankruptcy at 95.09%. This contrast highlights the potential for strategic moves, especially for investors who can navigate the risk-reward balance. As the market evaluates MYSZ's financial health and future prospects, those with a keen eye for volatility might find now an opportune moment to explore this stock..

My Size current slide is ambiguous

My Size's recent stock performance is raising eyebrows, with a downside deviation of 5.49. This figure highlights the stock's volatility, particularly in terms of negative returns. The challenge for investors is determining whether this is just a temporary blip or a sign of deeper issues. Keeping an eye on upcoming financial reports and market trends is crucial for gaining clarity and making informed decisions about My Size holdings. The stock's above-average volatility suggests that it reacts strongly to market shifts, which can be both an opportunity and a risk.
During bear markets, this heightened volatility can lead to significant price drops, prompting investors to reconsider their strategies and possibly diversify their portfolios to mitigate risk.Considering the recent decline of over 12% in My Size's stock price, investors might be wondering if this presents a buying opportunity or a sign to stay cautious. With the company's market valuation at 4.2 and a real value slightly lower at 3.32, there appears to be some optimism baked into the current pricing. Analysts have given a consensus rating of "Buy," with the highest estimated target price pegged at 3.33. This suggests potential upside if the company can meet or exceed expectations. However, it's crucial to weigh these insights against your own risk tolerance and investment strategy..

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Editorial Staff

Aina Ster is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Aina delivers weekly perspective on ongoing market and economic trends, analysis and tips from predictive analysis to forecasting across various financial instruments. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Aina Ster do not own shares of My Size. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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