In the world of investing, every dip can be a potential opportunity. Mesa Air Group has recently seen its stock price decline by 2%, even as the broader market enjoys gains. The company operates in the passenger airline sector and reported total revenue of $498.1 million, but it’s facing significant challenges, including an EBIT loss of 37.2 million and retained earnings of 71.1 million. With a current ratio of just 0.40X, liquidity is a concern, and the net working capital stands at a troubling -129.3 million. Despite these hurdles, Mesa's price-to-book ratio of 0.34X suggests that the stock may be undervalued. Investors should weigh these fundamentals carefully; while the dip might seem enticing, the underlying financial health raises red flags that could deter potential buyers. Mesa Air Group's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to dip slightly, reflecting trends from recent years. This year's book value per share is projected to rise to $5.87, while the market capitalization may fall to around $417.3 million. The company is set to release its earnings today, with the next fiscal year ending on January 24, 2025. As some investors shy away from passenger airlines, we’ll take a closer look at Mesa Air Group's market potential. Currently, the company's chance of financial distress is below 48%. The big question remains: will investors stay optimistic, or are we on the brink of a sell-off?
Mesa Air Group (MESA) has seen a slight dip of 2% even as the broader market moves upward, raising questions about its current valuation. With a Price to Earnings ratio of just 1.46X and a Price to Book ratio of 0.34X, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers in the airline industry. However, the company is grappling with a return on assets of -0.02 and significant total debt of 541.01M, which may deter some investors. As the fiscal year wraps up in September, potential buyers might find this dip an intriguing opportunity, especially given the revenue per share of 11.72 and a current asset level of 150.29M.
Important Takeaways
Mesa Air Group has a Beta of 1.22, indicating it carries a higher risk compared to the overall market. This means that when the market rises, Mesa Air is likely to perform better, but in a downturn, it may struggle more than the market. Currently, the stock has a negative expected return of -0.46%.
Before making any investment decisions, it's wise to check Mesa Air's maximum drawdown, skewness, and typical daily price. Additionally, understanding the relationship between downside variance and daily balance of power can provide insights into whether Mesa Air's past performance might repeat in the near future.Although in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has enforced strong rules to prevent insiders from engaging in insider trading, finding insiders among active shareholders of Mesa Air is not uncomon. Institutional investors typically avoid acquiring a high percentage of Mesa Air stocks because performing such an act may violate securities laws. They are usually not investing their own money, but rather making investments on behalf of their clients. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Mesa is distributed among investors.
Ownership Allocation
Mesa Air Group maintains a total of 41.31 Million
outstanding shares. Mesa Air Group holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by
insiders. An
insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or
institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.
Retail Investors65.96% | Insiders21.68% | Institutions12.36% |
| Retail Investors | 65.96 |
| Insiders | 21.68 |
| Institutions | 12.36 |
Please be aware that individual investors typically purchase shares for their personal accounts and usually in smaller quantities compared to institutional investors. While they might influence Mesa Air's decisions if they own a significant combined portion of its shares, such influence is relatively rare. Conversely, institutional investors - like mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds, and other investment companies - often have a substantial sway over Mesa Air's decisions due to their larger holdings.
Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mesa Air has an asset utilization ratio of 55.43 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.55 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mesa Air Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Non Current Assets Total664.3 M | | | | | Net Tangible Assets324.8 M | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 664.31 Million | 49.62 |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 15.73 Million | 1.18 |
| Other Current Assets | 2.37 Million | 0.18 |
| Total Current Assets | 219.76 Million | 16.42 |
| Intangible Assets | 3.28 Million | 0.25 |
| Net Tangible Assets | 324.77 Million | 24.26 |
| Other Assets | 108.56 Million | 8.11 |
In investing, it's often said that the market is a voting machine in the short term but a weighing machine in the long run. Mesa Air Group (MESA) has recently seen a 2% decline in its stock price, despite broader market gains. The company is facing significant challenges, with a net income loss of 120.1 million and total debt reaching 541.01 million, which raises concerns about its financial health. However, it has a market capitalization of only 52.05 million, suggesting potential undervaluation, especially with a price-to-sales ratio of just 0.11. With a target price of 2 and potential upside of 10.49%, some investors may view this dip as a buying opportunity, provided they are willing to accept the risks associated with its current financial state.
Our Mesa analysis suggests possible reversion in October
Mesa Air Group's stock has seen a sharp decline, with a maximum drop of 52.56% from its peak. This steep fall raises concerns about whether the stock can bounce back. However, there are indications that Mesa might be on the verge of a recovery this October. Investors should pay attention, as a return to better price levels could offer a unique chance for those looking to take advantage of its price swings. The stock is currently showing above-average volatility, which can help investors time their moves.
Understanding how this volatility interacts with market trends is crucial, especially during downturns when prices drop and investors often feel pressured to adjust their portfolios.Despite a generally positive market atmosphere, Mesa Air Group's stock has experienced a decline of over 2%. This downturn is particularly noteworthy given the analyst consensus, which leans heavily towards a "Strong Sell" rating. With a current market value estimated at
1.23, the stock is far below the analyst's highest target price of
2.22, suggesting a significant gap between current performance and potential upside. Investors should tread carefully, as the valuation metrics indicate a possible downside price of
0.0123, raising concerns about the stock's stability. As the fiscal year ends in September, it may be wise to keep a close eye on upcoming developments before making any investment decisions..
Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of LLOYDS 8. Please refer to our
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