Macroaxis Stories

Are Mesa Air (USA Stocks:MESA) weak basic indicators contributing to the current slip?

September 19, 2024  By
In the world of investing, every dip can be a potential opportunity. Mesa Air Group has recently seen its stock price decline by 2%, even as the broader market enjoys gains. The company operates in the passenger airline sector and reported total revenue of $498.1 million, but it’s facing significant challenges, including an EBIT loss of 37.2 million and retained earnings of 71.1 million. With a current ratio of just 0.40X, liquidity is a concern, and the net working capital stands at a troubling -129.3 million. Despite these hurdles, Mesa's price-to-book ratio of 0.34X suggests that the stock may be undervalued. Investors should weigh these fundamentals carefully; while the dip might seem enticing, the underlying financial health raises red flags that could deter potential buyers. Mesa Air Group's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to dip slightly, reflecting trends from recent years. This year's book value per share is projected to rise to $5.87, while the market capitalization may fall to around $417.3 million. The company is set to release its earnings today, with the next fiscal year ending on January 24, 2025. As some investors shy away from passenger airlines, we’ll take a closer look at Mesa Air Group's market potential. Currently, the company's chance of financial distress is below 48%. The big question remains: will investors stay optimistic, or are we on the brink of a sell-off?
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Reviewed by Ellen Johnson

Mesa Air Group (MESA) has seen a slight dip of 2% even as the broader market moves upward, raising questions about its current valuation. With a Price to Earnings ratio of just 1.46X and a Price to Book ratio of 0.34X, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers in the airline industry. However, the company is grappling with a return on assets of -0.02 and significant total debt of 541.01M, which may deter some investors. As the fiscal year wraps up in September, potential buyers might find this dip an intriguing opportunity, especially given the revenue per share of 11.72 and a current asset level of 150.29M.

Important Takeaways

Mesa Air Group has a Beta of 1.22, indicating it carries a higher risk compared to the overall market. This means that when the market rises, Mesa Air is likely to perform better, but in a downturn, it may struggle more than the market. Currently, the stock has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Before making any investment decisions, it's wise to check Mesa Air's maximum drawdown, skewness, and typical daily price. Additionally, understanding the relationship between downside variance and daily balance of power can provide insights into whether Mesa Air's past performance might repeat in the near future.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include LLOYDS income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential LLOYDS investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although LLOYDS investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in LLOYDS's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on LLOYDS's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of LLOYDS fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of LLOYDS performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of LLOYDS shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of LLOYDS is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares LLOYDS. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Breaking down LLOYDS Indicators

Although in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has enforced strong rules to prevent insiders from engaging in insider trading, finding insiders among active shareholders of Mesa Air is not uncomon. Institutional investors typically avoid acquiring a high percentage of Mesa Air stocks because performing such an act may violate securities laws. They are usually not investing their own money, but rather making investments on behalf of their clients. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Mesa is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Mesa Air Group maintains a total of 41.31 Million outstanding shares. Mesa Air Group holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.
Retail Investors
65.96%
Insiders
21.68%
Institutions
12.36%
Retail Investors65.96
Insiders21.68
Institutions12.36
Please be aware that individual investors typically purchase shares for their personal accounts and usually in smaller quantities compared to institutional investors. While they might influence Mesa Air's decisions if they own a significant combined portion of its shares, such influence is relatively rare. Conversely, institutional investors - like mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds, and other investment companies - often have a substantial sway over Mesa Air's decisions due to their larger holdings.

Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mesa Air has an asset utilization ratio of 55.43 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.55 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mesa Air Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Non Current Assets Total
664.3 M
Net Tangible Assets
324.8 M
Non Current Assets Total664.31 Million49.62
Non Currrent Assets Other15.73 Million1.18
Other Current Assets2.37 Million0.18
Total Current Assets219.76 Million16.42
Intangible Assets3.28 Million0.25
Net Tangible Assets324.77 Million24.26
Other Assets108.56 Million8.11
In investing, it's often said that the market is a voting machine in the short term but a weighing machine in the long run. Mesa Air Group (MESA) has recently seen a 2% decline in its stock price, despite broader market gains. The company is facing significant challenges, with a net income loss of 120.1 million and total debt reaching 541.01 million, which raises concerns about its financial health. However, it has a market capitalization of only 52.05 million, suggesting potential undervaluation, especially with a price-to-sales ratio of just 0.11. With a target price of 2 and potential upside of 10.49%, some investors may view this dip as a buying opportunity, provided they are willing to accept the risks associated with its current financial state.

Our Mesa analysis suggests possible reversion in October

Mesa Air Group's stock has seen a sharp decline, with a maximum drop of 52.56% from its peak. This steep fall raises concerns about whether the stock can bounce back. However, there are indications that Mesa might be on the verge of a recovery this October. Investors should pay attention, as a return to better price levels could offer a unique chance for those looking to take advantage of its price swings. The stock is currently showing above-average volatility, which can help investors time their moves.
Understanding how this volatility interacts with market trends is crucial, especially during downturns when prices drop and investors often feel pressured to adjust their portfolios.Despite a generally positive market atmosphere, Mesa Air Group's stock has experienced a decline of over 2%. This downturn is particularly noteworthy given the analyst consensus, which leans heavily towards a "Strong Sell" rating. With a current market value estimated at 1.23, the stock is far below the analyst's highest target price of 2.22, suggesting a significant gap between current performance and potential upside. Investors should tread carefully, as the valuation metrics indicate a possible downside price of 0.0123, raising concerns about the stock's stability. As the fiscal year ends in September, it may be wise to keep a close eye on upcoming developments before making any investment decisions..

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Editorial Staff

Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI. View Profile
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