Critical Metals Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| CRML Stock | 12.53 -0.32 -2.49% |
As of the 10th of May, Critical Metals is trading near 12.53 per share. Technical analytics identify Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0411, mean deviation of 6.29, and Downside Deviation of 7.39. The analytical framework assesses directional consistency across time frames. Peer-relative positioning is derived from normalized indicator data.
Critical Metals Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Critical Metals, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Critical MetalsCritical Metals |
Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 15.0 | Strong Sell | 0 | Odds |
The summary for Critical Metals Corp includes current and past analyst recommendations. The distribution of recommendations provides context on the breadth of analyst opinion. Sell-side analysts covering Critical Metals typically assign buy, hold, or sell ratings alongside 12-month price targets. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price comparing Critical Metals's fair price to its market value.
Critical Metals Analyst Advice Details Earnings Share -1.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 57.8% | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Critical Metals Corp is measured differently than book value, which reflects Critical Metals accounting equity. Critical Metals' market capitalization is 1.84 billion. The 12.79 P/B ratio shows Critical Metals carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. Enterprise value (TTM) stands at 1.76 billion. Intrinsic value reflects what Critical Metals' fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both price and book figure.
Value and price for Critical Metals are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For Critical Metals, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 12.79, a profit margin of -111.72%, ROE of -53.0%, and revenue of 560,623.
What-If Analysis
What-if analysis for Critical Metals Corp is essentially a historical sensitivity test that shows how changes in the investment horizon could have altered realized return, drawdown, and timing outcomes. Comparing realized return, risk, and path dependency instead of focusing only on the best historical outcome gives a more complete picture.
| 02/09/2026 |
| 05/10/2026 |
Had you placed 0.00 in Critical Metals on February 9, 2026 and held until today, you would record 0.00 in cumulative gains. The result is a 0.0% return on investment in Critical Metals in aggregate measured over 90 days. Critical Metals is related to or competes with Northern Dynasty, Lithium Americas, Ferroglobe PLC, Collective Mining, Solaris Resources, Standard Lithium, and CVR Partners. Critical Metals trades publicly on the NASDAQ Exchange. More
Critical Metals Upside and Downside Indicators Summary
The upside and downside context for Critical Metals captures how the stock price has moved within recent ranges. The indicators distinguish between mean-reverting behavior and sustained directional moves.
| Downside Deviation | 7.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0364 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 53.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | -10.29 | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.7 |
Critical Metals Volatility and Risk Indicators Overview
Risk metrics describing Critical Metals' historical price variability are presented below. Beta relative to a benchmark quantifies how much of the volatility is systematic versus idiosyncratic.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0411 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3038 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.522 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0441 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.09 |
Mean reversion in Critical Metals' price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Critical Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0411 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 19.1 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.14 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 7.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2855.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.95 | |||
| Variance | 80.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0364 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3038 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.522 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0441 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.09 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 53.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | -10.29 | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 54.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 51.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.80 | |||
| Skewness | 1.23 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.49 |
Critical Metals Corp Backtested Returns
Critical Metals continues to exhibit a moderate volatility over the designated horizon. It exhibits a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0482, capturing return dispersion relative to standard deviation. Algorithmic screening detected twenty-nine volatility-sensitive metrics. Please examine metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of 0.0411, mean deviation of 6.29, and Downside Deviation of 7.39 to validate volatility assumptions. On a scale of 0 to 100, Critical Metals holds a performance score of 3. The company maintains a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0159, which means very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. Critical Metals moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Auto-correlation | -0.66 |
Very good reverse predictability
Serial correlation analysis for Critical Metals Corp reveals very good reverse predictability across the intervals from 9th of February 2026 to 26th of March 2026 and from 26th of March 2026 to 10th of May 2026. The degree of alignment between past and current intervals shapes expectations about Critical Metals Corp's price persistence. At -0.66, around 66.0% of current Critical Metals price movement aligns with historical price trajectory. Given that Critical Metals Corp has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.96 |
Critical Metals is evaluated through observed price and volume patterns. It captures historical price and volume behavior using available data.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers twenty-five data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Critical Metals Corp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Critical Metals evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Price movements may be comparatively less responsive to macroeconomic volatility. Critical Metals has a market cap of 1.84 billion, ROE of -140.98%.
Reported values for Critical Metals Corp are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for analysis.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Technical Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Critical Metals Corp help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is informative when the goal is to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0411 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 19.1 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.14 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 7.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2855.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.95 | |||
| Variance | 80.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0364 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3038 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.522 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0441 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.09 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 53.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | -10.29 | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 54.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 51.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.80 | |||
| Skewness | 1.23 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.49 |
May 10, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Critical Metals Corp help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is informative when the goal is to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.31 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 12.86 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 12.75 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.49 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.04 |