Arlington Asset Investment Valuation

AAICDelisted Stock  USD 4.69  0.06  1.26%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Arlington Asset Inve shows a prevailing Real Value of $3.56 per share. The current price of the firm is $4.69. Our model approximates the value of Arlington Asset Inve from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.02 %, current valuation of 178.13 M, and Return On Equity of 0.002 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
4.69
Please note that Arlington Asset's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Arlington Asset Inve is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Arlington Asset's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Arlington Asset is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Arlington Stock. However, Arlington Asset's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  4.69 Real  3.56 Hype  4.69 Naive  5.0
The real value of Arlington Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Arlington Asset Inve Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Arlington Asset's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Arlington Asset's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
3.56
Real Value
5.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Arlington Asset Investment helps investors to forecast how Arlington stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Arlington Asset more accurately as focusing exclusively on Arlington Asset's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.564.694.82
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.694.694.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.005.005.00
Details

Arlington Asset Total Value Analysis

Arlington Asset Investment is presently forecasted to have valuation of 178.13 M with market capitalization of 135.38 M, debt of 255.75 M, and cash on hands of 505.35 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Arlington Asset fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
178.13 M
135.38 M
255.75 M
505.35 M

Arlington Asset Investor Information

About 43.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arlington Asset Inve has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 784.0. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2019. Arlington Asset had 1:20 split on the 7th of October 2009. Based on the key indicators related to Arlington Asset's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Arlington Asset Investment is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Arlington Asset Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Arlington indicates not a very effective usage of assets in November.

Arlington Asset Ownership Allocation

Arlington Asset holds a total of 28.32 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Arlington Asset Investment outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Arlington Asset Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.53 M. Net Income was 5.43 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.75 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Arlington Asset's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Arlington Asset and how it compares across the competition.

About Arlington Asset Valuation

The delisted stock valuation mechanism determines Arlington Asset's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Arlington Asset. We calculate exposure to Arlington Asset's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Arlington Asset's related companies.
currently invests primarily in mortgage-related and other assets and has elected to be taxed as a REIT. The Company is headquartered in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. Arlington Asset operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 11 people.

Arlington Asset Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.35
Forward Price Earnings9.1575
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Consideration for investing in Arlington Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Arlington Asset Inve check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Arlington Asset's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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