Blue Bird Valuation

BIRD Stock  IDR 1,895  65.00  3.32%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Blue Bird Tbk shows a prevailing Real Value of 1619.1 per share. The current price of the firm is 1895.0. Our model approximates the value of Blue Bird Tbk from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0656, current valuation of 3.52 T, and Profit Margin of 0.10 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
1,895
Please note that Blue Bird's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Blue Bird Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Blue Bird's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Blue Bird's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 1,895, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1895.0 Real  1619.1 Hype  1895.0 Naive  1895.26
The intrinsic value of Blue Bird's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Blue Bird's stock price.
1,619
Real Value
2,084
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Blue Bird Tbk helps investors to forecast how Blue stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Blue Bird more accurately as focusing exclusively on Blue Bird's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,9112,0122,114
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8931,8951,897
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,8931,8951,897
Details

Blue Bird Total Value Analysis

Blue Bird Tbk is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 3.52 T with market capitalization of 4.7 T, debt of 496.95 B, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Blue Bird fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Blue Bird Investor Information

About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blue Bird Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 129.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2022. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Blue Bird's historical financial statements, Blue Bird Tbk is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Blue Bird Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Blue Bird has an asset utilization ratio of 33.66 percent. This suggests that the Company is making 0.34 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Blue Bird Tbk is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Blue Bird Ownership Allocation

Blue Bird holds a total of 2.5 Billion outstanding shares. Blue Bird Tbk shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 70.57 percent of Blue Bird Tbk outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Blue Bird Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.22 T. Net Income was 7.71 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 493.97 B.

About Blue Bird Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blue Bird Tbk. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Blue Bird Tbk based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Blue Bird's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Blue Bird's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Blue Bird. We calculate exposure to Blue Bird's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Blue Bird's related companies.

8 Steps to conduct Blue Bird's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Blue Bird's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Blue Bird's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Blue Bird's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Blue Bird's revenue streams: Identify Blue Bird's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Blue Bird's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Blue Bird's growth potential: Evaluate Blue Bird's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Blue Bird's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Blue Bird's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Other Information on Investing in Blue Stock

Blue Bird financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Bird security.