Ecopetrol Valuation

ECHA Stock  EUR 7.68  0.14  1.86%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Ecopetrol SA shows a prevailing Real Value of €7.8 per share. The current price of the firm is €7.68. Our model computes the value of Ecopetrol SA from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Institutions of 2.03 %, profit margin of 0.20 %, and Shares Outstanding of 2.06 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
7.68
Please note that Ecopetrol's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ecopetrol SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ecopetrol's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Ecopetrol stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Ecopetrol SA. Since Ecopetrol is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ecopetrol Stock. However, Ecopetrol's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.68 Real  7.8 Hype  7.68 Naive  8.02
The real value of Ecopetrol Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ecopetrol SA Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ecopetrol's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ecopetrol's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
7.80
Real Value
9.76
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ecopetrol SA helps investors to forecast how Ecopetrol stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ecopetrol more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ecopetrol's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.507.637.77
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.727.689.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.078.029.98
Details

Ecopetrol Total Value Analysis

Ecopetrol SA is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 36.24 B with market capitalization of 21.38 B, debt of 85.86 T, and cash on hands of 4.99 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Ecopetrol fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
36.24 B
21.38 B
85.86 T
4.99 B

Ecopetrol Investor Information

The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ecopetrol SA last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2022. Based on the analysis of Ecopetrol's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ecopetrol SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Ecopetrol Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ecopetrol has an asset utilization ratio of 37.56 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.38 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ecopetrol SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Ecopetrol Ownership Allocation

Ecopetrol holds a total of 2.06 Billion outstanding shares. Roughly 97.97 percent of Ecopetrol outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.03 % by other corporate entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ecopetrol Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 91.74 T. Net Income was 15.65 T with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.2 T.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ecopetrol's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ecopetrol and how it compares across the competition.

About Ecopetrol Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ecopetrol's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ecopetrol. We calculate exposure to Ecopetrol's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ecopetrol's related companies.

8 Steps to conduct Ecopetrol's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Ecopetrol's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Ecopetrol's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Ecopetrol's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Ecopetrol's revenue streams: Identify Ecopetrol's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Ecopetrol's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Ecopetrol's growth potential: Evaluate Ecopetrol's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Ecopetrol's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Ecopetrol's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Ecopetrol Stock analysis

When running Ecopetrol's price analysis, check to measure Ecopetrol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecopetrol is operating at the current time. Most of Ecopetrol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecopetrol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecopetrol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecopetrol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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