ModivCare Valuation
| MODV Stock | USD 17.79 0.32 1.83% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. ModivCare secures a last-minute Real Value of $30.7 per share. The latest price of the firm is $17.79. Our model forecasts the value of ModivCare from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.07) %, current valuation of 1.45 B, and Return On Equity of -2.58 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting ModivCare's valuation include:
Price Book 19.0069 | Enterprise Value 1.4 B | Enterprise Value Ebitda 89.2553 | Price Sales 0.0895 | Forward PE 10.3199 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that ModivCare's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of ModivCare is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ModivCare's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the ModivCare stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of ModivCare. Since ModivCare is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ModivCare Stock. However, ModivCare's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 17.79 | Real 30.7 | Target 71.33 | Hype 17.54 | Naive 20.6 |
The intrinsic value of ModivCare's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence ModivCare's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ModivCare helps investors to forecast how ModivCare stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ModivCare more accurately as focusing exclusively on ModivCare's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use ModivCare's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of ModivCare's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against ModivCare's closest peers.
ModivCare Cash |
|
ModivCare Valuation Trend
Analysing the historical paterns of ModivCare's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of ModivCare over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.
ModivCare Total Value Analysis
ModivCare is now forecasted to have valuation of 1.45 B with market capitalization of 249.54 M, debt of 1.14 B, and cash on hands of 72.7 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the ModivCare fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
1.45 B | 249.54 M | 1.14 B | 72.7 M |
ModivCare Investor Information
About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.03. ModivCare recorded a loss per share of 12.87. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:3 split on the 1st of February 2021. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from ModivCare's historical financial statements, ModivCare is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.ModivCare Asset Utilization
The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of ModivCare indicates not a very effective usage of assets in November.ModivCare Ownership Allocation
The majority of ModivCare outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in ModivCare to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in ModivCare. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of ModivCare as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.ModivCare Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (204.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 472.32 M.About ModivCare Valuation
Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ModivCare. We calculate exposure to ModivCare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of ModivCare's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 447 M | 469.3 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.08) | (0.07) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Net Loss | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.16 | 0.17 |
ModivCare Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as ModivCare does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.753 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 10.3199 |
ModivCare Current Valuation Indicators
ModivCare's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final ModivCare's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as ModivCare, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use ModivCare's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes ModivCare's worth.Additional Tools for ModivCare Stock Analysis
When running ModivCare's price analysis, check to measure ModivCare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ModivCare is operating at the current time. Most of ModivCare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ModivCare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ModivCare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ModivCare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.