Newcrest Mining Valuation

NCMGYDelisted Stock  USD 18.05  0.15  0.84%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Newcrest Mining secures a last-minute Real Value of $15.48 per share. The latest price of the firm is $18.05. Our model forecasts the value of Newcrest Mining from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 14.15 B, profit margin of 0.21 %, and Return On Equity of 0.08 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
18.05
Please note that Newcrest Mining's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Newcrest Mining is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Newcrest Mining's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Newcrest Mining is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Newcrest Pink Sheet. However, Newcrest Mining's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.05 Real  15.48 Hype  18.05 Naive  18.38
The intrinsic value of Newcrest Mining's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Newcrest Mining's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.48
Real Value
19.86
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Newcrest Mining helps investors to forecast how Newcrest pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Newcrest Mining more accurately as focusing exclusively on Newcrest Mining's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3918.3619.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0518.0518.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.3818.3818.38
Details

Newcrest Mining Total Value Analysis

Newcrest Mining is now forecasted to have takeover price of 14.15 B with market capitalization of 15.24 B, debt of 1.78 B, and cash on hands of 675 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Newcrest Mining fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
14.15 B
15.24 B
1.78 B
675 M

Newcrest Mining Investor Information

The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Newcrest Mining last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. Based on the key indicators obtained from Newcrest Mining's historical financial statements, Newcrest Mining is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Newcrest Mining Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Newcrest Mining has an asset utilization ratio of 24.24 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.24 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Newcrest Mining is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Newcrest Mining Ownership Allocation

Newcrest Mining maintains a total of 893.71 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 99.9 % of Newcrest Mining outstanding shares are held by general public with 0.1 % by institutional investors. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Newcrest Mining Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 4.21 B. Net Income was 872 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B.

About Newcrest Mining Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Newcrest Mining. We calculate exposure to Newcrest Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Newcrest Mining's related companies.
Newcrest Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mine development, mine operation, and sale of gold and goldcopper concentrates. Newcrest Mining Limited was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. Newcrest Mining operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Newcrest Mining's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Newcrest Mining's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Newcrest Mining's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Newcrest Mining's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Newcrest Mining's revenue streams: Identify Newcrest Mining's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Newcrest Mining's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Newcrest Mining's growth potential: Evaluate Newcrest Mining's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Newcrest Mining's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Newcrest Mining's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Newcrest Mining Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding776 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.116
Forward Price Earnings16.7504
Retained Earnings-1.7 B
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Newcrest Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Newcrest Mining check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Newcrest Mining's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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