Nogin Inc Valuation

NOGNDelisted Stock  USD 0.96  0.13  11.93%   
Today, the firm appears to be overvalued. Nogin Inc secures a last-minute Real Value of $0.91 per share. The latest price of the firm is $0.96. Our model forecasts the value of Nogin Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (0.97) %, return on asset of -0.53, and Shares Outstanding of 11.29 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
0.96
Please note that Nogin's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Nogin Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Nogin's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Nogin is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Nogin Stock. However, Nogin's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.96 Real  0.91 Hype  0.96 Naive  0.88
The intrinsic value of Nogin's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nogin's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.91
Real Value
1.06
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nogin Inc helps investors to forecast how Nogin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nogin more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nogin's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.951.031.10
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.960.960.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.880.880.88
Details

Nogin Total Value Analysis

Nogin Inc is now forecasted to have valuation of 83.88 M with market capitalization of 688.59 K, debt of 80.44 M, and cash on hands of 1.21 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Nogin fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
83.88 M
688.59 K
80.44 M
1.21 M

Nogin Investor Information

About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.79. Nogin Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 29th of March 2023. Based on the analysis of Nogin's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Nogin Inc is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Nogin Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Nogin has an asset utilization ratio of 91.11 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.91 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Nogin Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Nogin Ownership Allocation

Nogin Inc holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares.

Nogin Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 68.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.01 M.

About Nogin Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nogin Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Nogin Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Nogin's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Nogin's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Nogin. We calculate exposure to Nogin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Nogin's related companies.
The company offers solutions in the areas of onboarding and discovery assessment of critical business issue roadmap development project and task management implementation and execution plan client support product management reporting and analytics and operational support and campaign management. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tustin, California. Nogin operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange.

Nogin Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in Nogin Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Nogin Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nogin's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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