Ontrak Valuation
| OTRK Stock | USD 1.85 0.05 2.78% |
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be undervalued. Ontrak Inc holds a recent Real Value of $2.13 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $1.85. Our model determines the value of Ontrak Inc from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (1.65) %, shares outstanding of 4.22 M, and Return On Equity of -3.41 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ontrak's valuation include:
Price Book 0.6812 | Enterprise Value 7.9 M | Enterprise Value Ebitda (0.36) | Price Sales 0.63 | Trailing PE 0.058 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Ontrak's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ontrak Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ontrak's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Ontrak's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 1.85, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 1.85 | Real 2.13 | Target 2.5 | Hype 1.79 | Naive 2.04 |
The intrinsic value of Ontrak's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Ontrak's stock price.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ontrak Inc helps investors to forecast how Ontrak stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ontrak more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ontrak's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ontrak's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ontrak's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ontrak's closest peers.
Ontrak Cash |
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Ontrak Valuation Trend
Knowing Ontrak's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Ontrak's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.
Ontrak Total Value Analysis
Ontrak Inc is now projected to have valuation of 7.94 M with market capitalization of 7.8 M, debt of 1.69 M, and cash on hands of 10.05 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ontrak fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
7.94 M | 7.8 M | 1.69 M | 10.05 M |
Ontrak Investor Information
About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Ontrak Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 31.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2017. The firm had 1:15 split on the 23rd of September 2024. Based on the analysis of Ontrak's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ontrak Inc may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.Ontrak Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ontrak has an asset utilization ratio of 64.21 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.64 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ontrak Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Ontrak Ownership Allocation
Ontrak has significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares.Ontrak Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.05 M.About Ontrak Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ontrak Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Ontrak Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Ontrak's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ontrak's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ontrak. We calculate exposure to Ontrak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ontrak's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 8.8 M | 6.3 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (2.20) | (2.31) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (1.62) | (1.70) | |
| Net Loss | (2.19) | (2.30) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.69 | 0.73 |
Ontrak Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Ontrak does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M |
Ontrak Current Valuation Indicators
Ontrak's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Ontrak's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ontrak, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ontrak's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ontrak's worth.When determining whether Ontrak Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Ontrak Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ontrak Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ontrak Inc Stock: Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ontrak Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ontrak. If investors know Ontrak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ontrak listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 31.91 | Revenue Per Share 4.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0.45) | Return On Equity (3.41) |
The market value of Ontrak Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ontrak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ontrak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ontrak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ontrak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ontrak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ontrak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ontrak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ontrak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.