Ontrak Inc Valuation

OTRKPDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 0.53  0.00  0.00%   
Ontrak is overvalued. Ontrak Inc holds a recent Real Value of $0.5 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $0.53. Our model determines the value of Ontrak Inc from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Gross Profit of 52.92 M, return on equity of -1.91, and Operating Margin of (2.04) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
0.53
Please note that Ontrak's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ontrak Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ontrak's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Ontrak's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 0.53, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.53 Real  0.5 Hype  0.53 Naive  0.46
The intrinsic value of Ontrak's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ontrak's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
0.50
Real Value
0.58
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ontrak Inc helps investors to forecast how Ontrak preferred stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ontrak more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ontrak's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.570.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.530.530.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.460.460.46
Details

Ontrak Total Value Analysis

Ontrak Inc is now forecasted to have takeover price of 200.23 M with market capitalization of 200.23 M, debt of 35.79 M, and cash on hands of 10.05 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Ontrak fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
200.23 M
200.23 M
35.79 M
10.05 M

Ontrak Investor Information

The company recorded a loss per share of 2.84. Ontrak Inc last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2022. Ontrak Inc is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.

Ontrak Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ontrak has an asset utilization ratio of 89.81 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.9 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ontrak Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Ontrak Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 84.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.92 M.

About Ontrak Valuation

The delisted preferred stock valuation mechanism determines Ontrak's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Ontrak Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ontrak. We calculate exposure to Ontrak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ontrak's related companies.
Ontrak, Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence powered, telehealth-enabled, and virtualized healthcare company that provides in-person services to health plans and other third-party payors in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Henderson, Nevada. Ontrak Inc operates under Health Information Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 231 people.

8 Steps to conduct Ontrak's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Ontrak's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Ontrak's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Ontrak's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Ontrak's revenue streams: Identify Ontrak's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Ontrak's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Ontrak's growth potential: Evaluate Ontrak's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Ontrak's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Ontrak's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Ontrak Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Ontrak does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.7 M
Retained Earnings-391.2 M
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Ontrak Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Ontrak Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ontrak's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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