Armada Mercantile Stock Volatility
AAMTF Stock | USD 0.25 0.05 16.67% |
Armada Mercantile secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0695, which signifies that the company had a -0.0695% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Armada Mercantile exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Armada Mercantile's Mean Deviation of 1.28, standard deviation of 4.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Armada Mercantile's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Armada Mercantile Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Armada daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Armada's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Armada Mercantile volatility.
Armada |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Armada Mercantile can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Armada Mercantile at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Armada Mercantile's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Armada Pink Sheet
0.78 | SSNLF | Samsung Electronics | PairCorr |
0.71 | NVDA | NVIDIA | PairCorr |
0.63 | ADSK | Autodesk | PairCorr |
0.61 | CRWD | Crowdstrike Holdings Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
0.59 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Fiscal Year End 28th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
0.58 | MS | Morgan Stanley Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
0.58 | MS-PA | Morgan Stanley | PairCorr |
0.58 | GS-PD | Goldman Sachs | PairCorr |
0.58 | ALAB | Astera Labs, Common Tech Boost | PairCorr |
Armada Mercantile Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Armada Mercantile's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Armada pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Armada pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Armada Mercantile's beta of -0.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Armada Mercantile pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Armada Mercantile exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.36 and kurtosis of 18.69. Armada Mercantile is a potential penny stock. Although Armada Mercantile may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Armada Mercantile. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Armada instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Armada Mercantile Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Armada Mercantile correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Armada Beta |
Armada standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.23 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Armada Mercantile's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Armada Mercantile's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in armada pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Armada Mercantile.
Armada Mercantile Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Armada Mercantile pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Armada Mercantile's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Armada Mercantile's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Armada Mercantile's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Armada Mercantile's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Armada Mercantile's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Armada Mercantile's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Armada Mercantile's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Armada Mercantile Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Armada Mercantile Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Armada Mercantile has a beta of -0.3948 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Armada Mercantile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Armada Mercantile is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Armada Mercantile or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Armada Mercantile's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Armada pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Armada Mercantile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives an Armada Mercantile Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Armada Mercantile Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Armada Mercantile is -1438.95. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 17.92 and standard deviation of 4.23. The mean deviation of Armada Mercantile is currently at 1.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Armada Mercantile Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Armada Mercantile historical daily return volatility represents how much of Armada Mercantile pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.2331% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Armada Mercantile Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Armada Mercantile or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Armada Mercantile may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Armada's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Armada Mercantile and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Armada Mercantile fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Armada Mercantile Ltd., a financial services company, provides merchant banking services worldwide. Armada Mercantile Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Roseville, California. ARMADA MERCANTILE operates under Capital Markets classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Armada Mercantile's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Armada Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Armada Mercantile's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Armada Mercantile's volatility to invest better
Higher Armada Mercantile's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Armada Mercantile stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Armada Mercantile stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Armada Mercantile investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Armada Mercantile's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Armada Mercantile's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Armada Mercantile Investment Opportunity
Armada Mercantile has a volatility of 4.23 and is 5.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Armada Mercantile is lower than 37 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Armada Mercantile to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Armada Mercantile to be traded at $0.2375 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Armada Mercantile and DJI is -0.07 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Armada Mercantile and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Armada Mercantile Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Armada Mercantile's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Armada Mercantile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Armada Mercantile pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7579 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (1,461) | |||
Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
Variance | 17.37 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.1) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Armada Mercantile Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Armada Mercantile as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Armada Mercantile's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Armada Mercantile's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Armada Mercantile.
Complementary Tools for Armada Pink Sheet analysis
When running Armada Mercantile's price analysis, check to measure Armada Mercantile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Armada Mercantile is operating at the current time. Most of Armada Mercantile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Armada Mercantile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Armada Mercantile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Armada Mercantile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets |