Excelsior Alimentos (Brazil) Volatility
| BAUH4 Preferred Stock | BRL 78.79 0.30 0.38% |
Excelsior Alimentos secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0779, which denotes the company had a -0.0779% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Excelsior Alimentos SA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Excelsior Alimentos' Standard Deviation of 0.2645, coefficient of variation of (1,292), and Mean Deviation of 0.101 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Excelsior Alimentos' volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Excelsior Alimentos Preferred Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Excelsior daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Excelsior's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Excelsior Alimentos volatility.
Excelsior |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Excelsior Alimentos can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Excelsior Alimentos at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Excelsior stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Excelsior Alimentos' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Excelsior Preferred Stock
| 0.82 | CARE11 | Mxima Renda Corporativa | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | RBED11 | Aesapar Fundo de | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | FIGS11 | Fundo de Investimento | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | HGBS11 | HEDGE Brasil Shopping | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | HGLG11 | Cshg Logistica | PairCorr |
Moving against Excelsior Preferred Stock
Excelsior Alimentos Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Excelsior Alimentos' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Excelsior preferred stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Excelsior preferred stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Excelsior Alimentos's beta of -0.0212 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Excelsior Alimentos SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 13.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Excelsior Alimentos Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Excelsior Alimentos correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Excelsior Beta |
Excelsior standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.27 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Excelsior Alimentos's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Excelsior Alimentos' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in excelsior preferred stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Excelsior Alimentos.
Excelsior Alimentos Preferred Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Excelsior Alimentos' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock to predict their future moves. A preferred stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A preferred stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile preferred stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Excelsior Alimentos' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of preferred stock volatility measures Excelsior Alimentos' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Excelsior Alimentos' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the preferred stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Excelsior Alimentos' current market price. This means that the preferred stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Excelsior Alimentos' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Excelsior Alimentos Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Excelsior Alimentos Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Excelsior Alimentos SA has a beta of -0.0212 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Excelsior Alimentos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Excelsior Alimentos SA is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Excelsior Alimentos or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Excelsior Alimentos' price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Excelsior preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Excelsior Alimentos SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Excelsior Alimentos Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a preferred stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Excelsior Alimentos Preferred Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Excelsior Alimentos is -1284.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.07 and standard deviation of 0.27. The mean deviation of Excelsior Alimentos SA is currently at 0.1. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.6 |
Excelsior Alimentos Preferred Stock Return Volatility
Excelsior Alimentos historical daily return volatility represents how much of Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 0.2687% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Excelsior Alimentos Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Excelsior Alimentos or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Excelsior Alimentos may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Excelsior's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Excelsior Alimentos and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Excelsior Alimentos fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Excelsior Alimentos S.A. produces and commercializes industrialized meat products. Excelsior Alimentos S.A. is a subsidiary of Seara Alimentos S.A. EXCELSIOR operates under Packaged Foods classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.
Excelsior Alimentos' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Excelsior Preferred Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Excelsior Alimentos' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Excelsior Alimentos' volatility to invest better
Higher Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Excelsior Alimentos investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Excelsior Alimentos Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.74 and is 2.74 times more volatile than Excelsior Alimentos SA. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Excelsior Alimentos SA is lower than 2 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Excelsior Alimentos SA to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The preferred stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Excelsior Alimentos to be traded at R$82.73 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Excelsior Alimentos SA and DJI is -0.06 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Excelsior Alimentos SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Excelsior Alimentos Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Excelsior Alimentos' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Excelsior Alimentos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Excelsior Alimentos preferred stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.45 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.101 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,292) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2645 | |||
| Variance | 0.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential preferred stocks, we recommend comparing similar preferred stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Excelsior Alimentos Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Excelsior Alimentos as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Excelsior Alimentos' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Excelsior Alimentos' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Excelsior Alimentos SA.
Additional Tools for Excelsior Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Excelsior Alimentos' price analysis, check to measure Excelsior Alimentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Excelsior Alimentos is operating at the current time. Most of Excelsior Alimentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Excelsior Alimentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Excelsior Alimentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Excelsior Alimentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.