Baillie Gifford China Fund Volatility
| BGCDX Fund | USD 5.24 0.13 2.54% |
Baillie Gifford appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Baillie Gifford China secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Baillie Gifford China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Baillie Gifford's Mean Deviation of 1.77, downside deviation of 2.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0882 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Baillie Gifford's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Baillie Gifford Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Baillie daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Baillie's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Baillie Gifford volatility.
Baillie |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Baillie Gifford. They may decide to buy additional shares of Baillie Gifford at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Baillie Mutual Fund
| 0.7 | BSGLX | Long Term | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | BTLSX | Baillie Gifford Inte | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | BTLKX | Baillie Gifford Inte | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | BCANX | Baillie Gifford China | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | BCAKX | Baillie Gifford China | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | BGAKX | Global Alpha | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | BGALX | Baillie Gifford Global | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | BGASX | Global Alpha | PairCorr |
Baillie Gifford Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Baillie Gifford's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Baillie mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Baillie mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Baillie Gifford's beta of 0.0419 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Baillie Gifford mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Baillie Gifford China currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Baillie Gifford's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Baillie Gifford's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Baillie Gifford China Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Baillie Gifford correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Baillie Beta |
Baillie standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.53 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Baillie Gifford's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Baillie Gifford's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in baillie mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Baillie Gifford.
Baillie Gifford China Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Baillie Gifford fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Baillie Gifford's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Baillie Gifford's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Baillie Gifford's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Baillie Gifford's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Baillie Gifford's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Baillie Gifford's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Baillie Gifford's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Baillie Gifford China Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Baillie Gifford Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baillie Gifford has a beta of 0.0419 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baillie Gifford average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baillie Gifford China will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Baillie Gifford or Baillie Gifford Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Baillie Gifford's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Baillie fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Baillie Gifford China has an alpha of 0.25, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Baillie Gifford Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Baillie Gifford Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Baillie Gifford is 926.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.41 and standard deviation of 2.53. The mean deviation of Baillie Gifford China is currently at 1.77. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Baillie Gifford Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Baillie Gifford historical daily return volatility represents how much of Baillie Gifford fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 2.5314% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Baillie Gifford Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Baillie Gifford or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Baillie Gifford may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Baillie's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Baillie Gifford and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Baillie Gifford fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund seeks to meet its objective by investing in a portfolio of common stocks and other equity securities of companies located in the Peoples Republic of China . Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks and other equity securities of companies located in China, regardless of where their securities are principally listed for trading. The fund is non-diversified.
Baillie Gifford's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Baillie Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Baillie Gifford's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Baillie Gifford's volatility to invest better
Higher Baillie Gifford's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Baillie Gifford China fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Baillie Gifford China fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Baillie Gifford China investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Baillie Gifford's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Baillie Gifford's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Baillie Gifford Investment Opportunity
Baillie Gifford China has a volatility of 2.53 and is 3.37 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Baillie Gifford. You can use Baillie Gifford China to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Baillie Gifford to be traded at $6.29 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Baillie Gifford China and DJI is 0.01 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Baillie Gifford China and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Baillie Gifford Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Baillie Gifford's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baillie Gifford's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Baillie Gifford mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0882 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 6.09 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 943.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Baillie Gifford Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Baillie Gifford as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Baillie Gifford's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Baillie Gifford's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Baillie Gifford China.
Other Information on Investing in Baillie Mutual Fund
Baillie Gifford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baillie Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baillie with respect to the benefits of owning Baillie Gifford security.
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