First Investors Opportunity Fund Volatility
| FIVUX Fund | USD 39.93 0.31 0.77% |
At this stage we consider First Mutual Fund to be very steady. First Investors Oppo secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Investors Opportunity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Investors' Coefficient Of Variation of 618.74, mean deviation of 0.5948, and Downside Deviation of 0.537 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Key indicators related to First Investors' volatility include:
480 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 480 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First Investors Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First Investors volatility.
First |
First Investors Oppo Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First Investors fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First Investors' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First Investors' mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First Investors' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures First Investors' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First Investors' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First Investors' current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First Investors' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. First Investors Oppo Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
First Investors Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Investors has a beta of 0.9986 . This usually indicates First Investors Opportunity market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Investors is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Investors or Delaware Funds by Macquarie sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Investors' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First Investors Opportunity has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.0046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a First Investors Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First Investors Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of First Investors is 631.72. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.65 and standard deviation of 0.8. The mean deviation of First Investors Opportunity is currently at 0.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
First Investors Mutual Fund Return Volatility
First Investors historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Investors fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.8047% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7357% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About First Investors Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First Investors or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First Investors may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First Investors and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First Investors fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund invests primarily in mid-size companies that the Manager believes offer attractive valuation and quality characteristics. The fund invests primarily in U.S. companies but may also invest in foreign companies that are listed in the U.S. It may invest in active or passive exchange-traded funds to gain exposure to such securities and up to 20 percent of its net assets in real estate investment trusts . It may continue to hold stocks of companies that grow into larger companies and may also invest opportunistically in larger companies.
First Investors' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First Investors' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize First Investors' volatility to invest better
Higher First Investors' fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First Investors Oppo fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First Investors Oppo fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First Investors Oppo investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First Investors' fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First Investors' fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First Investors Investment Opportunity
First Investors Opportunity has a volatility of 0.8 and is 1.08 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 7 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First Investors. You can use First Investors Opportunity to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of First Investors to be traded at $39.13 in 90 days.Almost no diversification
The correlation between First Investors Opportunity and DJI is 0.9 (i.e., Almost no diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Investors Opportunity and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
First Investors Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Investors' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Investors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First Investors mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1177 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1291 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.5948 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3637 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.537 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 618.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7977 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First Investors Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Investors as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Investors' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Investors' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Investors Opportunity.
Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund
First Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Investors security.
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