Northwest Bancshares Stock Volatility
| NWBI Stock | USD 14.93 0.30 2.05% |
Northwest Bancshares is not too volatile at the moment. Northwest Bancshares has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0809, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0809% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Northwest Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Northwest Bancshares' Downside Deviation of 1.6, mean deviation of 1.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0686 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Key indicators related to Northwest Bancshares' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Northwest Bancshares Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Northwest daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Northwest's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Northwest Bancshares volatility.
Northwest |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Northwest Bancshares at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Northwest stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Northwest Stock
| 0.88 | AX | Axos Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | BY | Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | RF | Regions Financial Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | VBNK | VersaBank Fiscal Year End 11th of December 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Northwest Stock
| 0.59 | CFG-PE | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | TFC-PR | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | TFC-PO | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
Northwest Bancshares Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Northwest Bancshares' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Northwest stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Northwest stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Northwest Bancshares's beta of -0.0338 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Northwest Bancshares stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Northwest Bancshares has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.66 and kurtosis of 22.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northwest Bancshares' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northwest Bancshares' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Northwest Bancshares Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Northwest Bancshares correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Northwest Beta |
Northwest standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.23 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Northwest Bancshares's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Northwest Bancshares' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in northwest stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Northwest Bancshares.
Northwest Bancshares Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Northwest Bancshares stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Northwest Bancshares' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Northwest Bancshares' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Northwest Bancshares' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Northwest Bancshares' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Northwest Bancshares' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Northwest Bancshares' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Northwest Bancshares' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Northwest Bancshares Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Northwest Bancshares Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northwest Bancshares has a beta of -0.0338 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Northwest Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Northwest Bancshares is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northwest Bancshares or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northwest Bancshares' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northwest stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Northwest Bancshares has an alpha of 0.1747, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Northwest Bancshares Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Northwest Bancshares Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Northwest Bancshares is 1235.94. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.98 and standard deviation of 2.23. The mean deviation of Northwest Bancshares is currently at 1.24. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Northwest Bancshares Stock Return Volatility
Northwest Bancshares historical daily return volatility represents how much of Northwest Bancshares stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.2325% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Northwest Bancshares Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Northwest Bancshares or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Northwest Bancshares may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Northwest's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Northwest Bancshares and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Northwest Bancshares fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Northwest Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for Northwest Bank, a state-chartered savings bank that provides personal and business banking solutions. Northwest Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Northwest Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2191 people.
Northwest Bancshares' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Northwest Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Northwest Bancshares' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Northwest Bancshares' volatility to invest better
Higher Northwest Bancshares' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Northwest Bancshares stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Northwest Bancshares stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Northwest Bancshares investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Northwest Bancshares' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Northwest Bancshares' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Northwest Bancshares Investment Opportunity
Northwest Bancshares has a volatility of 2.23 and is 2.9 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 19 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Northwest Bancshares. You can use Northwest Bancshares to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Northwest Bancshares to be traded at $17.92 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Northwest Bancshares and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Bancshares and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Northwest Bancshares Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northwest Bancshares' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northwest Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Northwest Bancshares stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0686 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (5.04) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1235.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Northwest Bancshares Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Northwest Bancshares as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Northwest Bancshares' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Northwest Bancshares' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Northwest Bancshares.
Complementary Tools for Northwest Stock analysis
When running Northwest Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Northwest Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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