Aquila Tax Free Trust Fund Volatility
| ORTYX Fund | USD 10.28 0.01 0.1% |
Aquila Tax Free secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0071, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0071% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aquila Tax Free Trust exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aquila Tax-free's Standard Deviation of 0.1881, mean deviation of 0.1086, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Aquila Tax-free's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Aquila Tax-free Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Aquila daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Aquila's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Aquila Tax-free volatility.
Aquila |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Aquila Tax-free. They may decide to buy additional shares of Aquila Tax-free at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Aquila Mutual Fund
| 0.65 | ATIPX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | ATPCX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | ATPAX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | UTAYX | Aquila Tax Free | PairCorr |
Moving against Aquila Mutual Fund
| 0.55 | ATGYX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | ATGCX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | ATRIX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | ATGAX | Aquila Three Peaks | PairCorr |
Aquila Tax-free Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Aquila Tax-free's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Aquila mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Aquila mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Aquila Tax-free's beta of -0.0823 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Aquila Tax-free mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Aquila Tax Free Trust exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.05 and kurtosis of 5.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aquila Tax-free's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aquila Tax-free's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Aquila Tax Free Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Aquila Tax-free correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Aquila Beta |
Aquila standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.19 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Aquila Tax-free's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Aquila Tax-free's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in aquila mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Aquila Tax-free.
Aquila Tax Free Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Aquila Tax-free fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Aquila Tax-free's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Aquila Tax-free's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Aquila Tax-free's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Aquila Tax-free's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Aquila Tax-free's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Aquila Tax-free's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Aquila Tax-free's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Aquila Tax Free Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Aquila Tax-free Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aquila Tax Free Trust has a beta of -0.0823 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aquila Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aquila Tax Free Trust is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aquila Tax-free or Aquila sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aquila Tax-free's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aquila fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Aquila Tax Free Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Aquila Tax-free Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Aquila Tax-free Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Aquila Tax-free is -14000.74. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.04 and standard deviation of 0.19. The mean deviation of Aquila Tax Free Trust is currently at 0.11. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0014 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.7 |
Aquila Tax-free Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Aquila Tax-free historical daily return volatility represents how much of Aquila Tax-free fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.1881% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Aquila Tax-free Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Aquila Tax-free or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Aquila Tax-free may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Aquila's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Aquila Tax-free and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Aquila Tax-free fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets will be invested in municipal obligations that pay interest exempt, in the opinion of bond counsel, from Oregon state and regular Federal income taxes, the income paid upon which will not be subject to the Federal alternative minimum tax on individuals. Aquila Tax-Free is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Aquila Tax-free's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Aquila Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Aquila Tax-free's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Aquila Tax-free's volatility to invest better
Higher Aquila Tax-free's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Aquila Tax Free fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Aquila Tax Free fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Aquila Tax Free investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Aquila Tax-free's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Aquila Tax-free's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Aquila Tax-free Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 4.05 times more volatile than Aquila Tax Free Trust. 1 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Aquila Tax-free. You can use Aquila Tax Free Trust to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Aquila Tax-free to be traded at $10.79 in 90 days.Very good diversification
The correlation between Aquila Tax Free Trust and DJI is -0.34 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Aquila Tax Free Trust and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Aquila Tax-free Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aquila Tax-free's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aquila Tax-free's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Aquila Tax-free mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1478 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.1086 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,001) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1881 | |||
| Variance | 0.0354 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Aquila Tax-free Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Aquila Tax-free as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Aquila Tax-free's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Aquila Tax-free's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Aquila Tax Free Trust.
Other Information on Investing in Aquila Mutual Fund
Aquila Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aquila Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aquila with respect to the benefits of owning Aquila Tax-free security.
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