Destinasi Tirta (Indonesia) Volatility
| PDES Stock | IDR 270.00 4.00 1.50% |
As of now, Destinasi Stock is very steady. Destinasi Tirta Nusantara secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0175, which denotes the company had a 0.0175% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Destinasi Tirta Nusantara, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Destinasi Tirta's Downside Deviation of 2.4, coefficient of variation of 1823.67, and Mean Deviation of 0.4957 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.016%. Key indicators related to Destinasi Tirta's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Destinasi Tirta Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Destinasi daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Destinasi's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Destinasi Tirta volatility.
Destinasi |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Destinasi Tirta at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Destinasi stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Destinasi Stock
Destinasi Tirta Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Destinasi Tirta's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Destinasi stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Destinasi stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Destinasi Tirta's beta of -0.0108 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Destinasi Tirta stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Destinasi Tirta Nusantara currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Destinasi Tirta's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Destinasi Tirta's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Destinasi Tirta Nusantara Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Destinasi Tirta correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Destinasi Beta |
Destinasi standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.91 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Destinasi Tirta's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Destinasi Tirta's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in destinasi stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Destinasi Tirta.
Destinasi Tirta Nusantara Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Destinasi Tirta stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Destinasi Tirta's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Destinasi Tirta's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Destinasi Tirta's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Destinasi Tirta's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Destinasi Tirta's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Destinasi Tirta's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Destinasi Tirta's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Destinasi Tirta Nusantara Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Destinasi Tirta Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Destinasi Tirta Nusantara has a beta of -0.0108 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Destinasi Tirta are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Destinasi Tirta Nusantara is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Destinasi Tirta or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Destinasi Tirta's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Destinasi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Destinasi Tirta Nusantara has an alpha of 0.0411, implying that it can generate a 0.0411 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Destinasi Tirta Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Destinasi Tirta Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Destinasi Tirta is 5711.76. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.84 and standard deviation of 0.91. The mean deviation of Destinasi Tirta Nusantara is currently at 0.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Destinasi Tirta Stock Return Volatility
Destinasi Tirta historical daily return volatility represents how much of Destinasi Tirta stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 0.9145% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Destinasi Tirta Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Destinasi Tirta or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Destinasi Tirta may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Destinasi's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Destinasi Tirta and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Destinasi Tirta fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Destinasi Tirta's volatility to invest better
Higher Destinasi Tirta's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Destinasi Tirta Nusantara stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Destinasi Tirta Nusantara stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Destinasi Tirta Nusantara investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Destinasi Tirta's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Destinasi Tirta's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Destinasi Tirta Investment Opportunity
Destinasi Tirta Nusantara has a volatility of 0.91 and is 1.21 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Destinasi Tirta. You can use Destinasi Tirta Nusantara to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Destinasi Tirta to be traded at 297.0 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Destinasi Tirta Nusantara and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Destinasi Tirta Nusantara and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Destinasi Tirta Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Destinasi Tirta's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Destinasi Tirta's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Destinasi Tirta stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0435 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.67) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4957 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9528 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1823.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9066 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Destinasi Tirta Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Alphabet vs. Destinasi Tirta | ||
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| Ford vs. Destinasi Tirta | ||
| Salesforce vs. Destinasi Tirta | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Destinasi Tirta as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Destinasi Tirta's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Destinasi Tirta's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Destinasi Tirta Nusantara.
Other Information on Investing in Destinasi Stock
Destinasi Tirta financial ratios help investors to determine whether Destinasi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Destinasi with respect to the benefits of owning Destinasi Tirta security.