Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Stock Volatility

RAFA Stock  USD 0.09  0  4.40%   
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.12, which implies the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.85% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1082, semi deviation of 11.05, and Coefficient Of Variation of 776.65 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Rafarma daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Rafarma's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Rafarma Pharmaceuticals can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against Rafarma Pink Sheet

  0.86HLNCF Haleon plcPairCorr
  0.85HLN Haleon plcPairCorr
  0.76TAK Takeda PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.68MKGAF MERCK KommanditgesellsPairCorr
  0.66MKKGY Merck KGaA ADRPairCorr
  0.57NSFDF NXT Energy SolutionsPairCorr
  0.54VZ Verizon Communications Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.53ZTLLF ZonetailPairCorr
  0.43TKPHF Takeda PharmaceuticalPairCorr

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Rafarma pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Rafarma pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Rafarma Pharmaceuticals's beta of -0.58 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Rafarma Pharmaceuticals pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is a penny stock. Although Rafarma Pharmaceuticals may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Rafarma Pharmaceuticals. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Rafarma instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Rafarma Pharmaceuticals correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Rafarma Beta

    
  -0.58  
Rafarma standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  15.24  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Rafarma Pharmaceuticals's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in rafarma pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Rafarma Pharmaceuticals.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Rafarma Pharmaceuticals pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rafarma Pharmaceuticals has a beta of -0.5804 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rafarma Pharmaceuticals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Rafarma Pharmaceuticals or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Rafarma pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals has an alpha of 2.0665, implying that it can generate a 2.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how rafarma pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is 824.09. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 232.15 and standard deviation of 15.24. The mean deviation of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is currently at 8.98. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
15.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals historical daily return volatility represents how much of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 15.2365% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Rafarma's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a multi-product pharmaceutical company, produces and sells drugs, generic antibiotics, and specialty pharmaceuticals in Russia. As of October 19, 2020, Rafarma Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of R. D. RAFARMA PHARMACEUTICALS operates under Drug ManufacturersSpecialty Generic classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Rafarma Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' volatility to invest better

Higher Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Investment Opportunity

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals has a volatility of 15.24 and is 20.32 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Rafarma Pharmaceuticals. You can use Rafarma Pharmaceuticals to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals to be traded at $0.0826 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Rafarma Pharmaceuticals and DJI is -0.03 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Rafarma Pharmaceuticals and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Rafarma Pharmaceuticals Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Rafarma Pharmaceuticals as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Rafarma Pharmaceuticals.

Complementary Tools for Rafarma Pink Sheet analysis

When running Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rafarma Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rafarma Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rafarma Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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