UBS Fund (Germany) Volatility
| UETC Etf | 8.53 0.11 1.31% |
UBS Fund appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. UBS Fund Solutions owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the etf had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for UBS Fund Solutions, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please review UBS Fund's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1113, downside deviation of 2.4, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 3.91 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
UBS |
UBS Fund Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of UBS daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use UBS's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of UBS Fund volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with UBS Fund. They may decide to buy additional shares of UBS Fund at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with UBS Etf
Moving against UBS Etf
UBS Fund Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
UBS Fund's beta coefficient measures the volatility of UBS etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents UBS etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, UBS Fund's beta of 0.0837 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk UBS Fund etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. UBS Fund Solutions currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UBS Fund's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UBS Fund's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze UBS Fund Solutions Demand TrendCheck current 90 days UBS Fund correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)UBS Beta |
UBS standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.48 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by UBS Fund's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of UBS Fund's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ubs etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in UBS Fund.
UBS Fund Solutions Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which UBS Fund etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with UBS Fund's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of UBS Fund's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of UBS Fund's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures UBS Fund's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict UBS Fund's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for UBS Fund's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on UBS Fund's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. UBS Fund Solutions Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
UBS Fund Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UBS Fund has a beta of 0.0837 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, UBS Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UBS Fund Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UBS Fund or UBS sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UBS Fund's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UBS etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
UBS Fund Solutions has an alpha of 0.3156, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an UBS Fund Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.UBS Fund Etf Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of UBS Fund is 703.2. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.14 and standard deviation of 2.48. The mean deviation of UBS Fund Solutions is currently at 1.66. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
UBS Fund Etf Return Volatility
UBS Fund historical daily return volatility represents how much of UBS Fund etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund accepts 2.4787% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
UBS Fund Investment Opportunity
UBS Fund Solutions has a volatility of 2.48 and is 3.31 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of UBS Fund Solutions is lower than 22 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use UBS Fund Solutions to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of UBS Fund to be traded at 9.38 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between UBS Fund Solutions and DJI is 0.03 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UBS Fund Solutions and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
UBS Fund Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of UBS Fund's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UBS Fund's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of UBS Fund etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1113 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 3.91 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 732.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
UBS Fund Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against UBS Fund as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. UBS Fund's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, UBS Fund's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to UBS Fund Solutions.