AEP TEX CENT Volatility
| 0010EPAF5 | 106.66 1.04 0.97% |
AEP TEX CENT secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AEP TEX CENT exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 0010EPAF5's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 0.6239, and Variance of 1.26 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to 0010EPAF5's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Default | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
0010EPAF5 Bond volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 0010EPAF5 daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 0010EPAF5's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of 0010EPAF5 volatility.
0010EPAF5 |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with 0010EPAF5. They may decide to buy additional shares of 0010EPAF5 at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving against 0010EPAF5 Bond
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| 0.71 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | EOS | Eaton Vance Enhanced | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Buyout Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | AMGIX | Income Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | PairCorr |
0010EPAF5 Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
0010EPAF5's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 0010EPAF5 bond compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 0010EPAF5 bond's returns against your selected market. In other words, 0010EPAF5's beta of -0.0082 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk 0010EPAF5 bond can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AEP TEX CENT exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 10.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 0010EPAF5's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 0010EPAF5's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AEP TEX CENT Demand TrendCheck current 90 days 0010EPAF5 correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)0010EPAF5 Beta |
0010EPAF5 standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.6 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by 0010EPAF5's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of 0010EPAF5's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in 0010epaf5 bond tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in 0010EPAF5.
AEP TEX CENT Bond Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which 0010EPAF5 bond price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with 0010EPAF5's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of 0010EPAF5's bond to predict their future moves. A bond that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A bond with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile bond is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of 0010EPAF5's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of bond volatility measures 0010EPAF5's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict 0010EPAF5's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the bond.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for 0010EPAF5's current market price. This means that the bond will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on 0010EPAF5's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AEP TEX CENT Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
0010EPAF5 Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AEP TEX CENT has a beta of -0.0082 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 0010EPAF5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AEP TEX CENT is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 0010EPAF5 or Electric sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 0010EPAF5's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 0010EPAF5 bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AEP TEX CENT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a 0010EPAF5 Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a bond's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.0010EPAF5 Bond Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of 0010EPAF5 is -658.32. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.36 and standard deviation of 0.6. The mean deviation of AEP TEX CENT is currently at 0.44. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0082 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
0010EPAF5 Bond Return Volatility
0010EPAF5 historical daily return volatility represents how much of 0010EPAF5 bond's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. AEP TEX CENT accepts 0.5996% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About 0010EPAF5 Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of 0010EPAF5 or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of 0010EPAF5 may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to 0010EPAF5's beta indicator, it measures the risk of 0010EPAF5 and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of 0010EPAF5 fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize 0010EPAF5's volatility to invest better
Higher 0010EPAF5's bond volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AEP TEX CENT bond is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AEP TEX CENT bond volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AEP TEX CENT investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in 0010EPAF5's bond can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of 0010EPAF5's bond relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
0010EPAF5 Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.75 and is 1.25 times more volatile than AEP TEX CENT. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of AEP TEX CENT is lower than 5 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use AEP TEX CENT to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The bond experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of 0010EPAF5 to be traded at 104.53 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between AEP TEX CENT and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AEP TEX CENT and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
0010EPAF5 Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of 0010EPAF5's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 0010EPAF5's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of 0010EPAF5 bond's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.91 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6239 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (8,131) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential bonds, we recommend comparing similar bonds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
0010EPAF5 Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Ford vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Bank of America vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Microsoft vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Visa vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Citigroup vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| GM vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Salesforce vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
| Alphabet vs. 0010EPAF5 | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against 0010EPAF5 as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. 0010EPAF5's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, 0010EPAF5's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AEP TEX CENT.
Other Information on Investing in 0010EPAF5 Bond
0010EPAF5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 0010EPAF5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 0010EPAF5 with respect to the benefits of owning 0010EPAF5 security.