SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 Volatility
| 78646UAB5 | 85.47 0.00 0.00% |
SAFE 285 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0397, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0397% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 78646UAB5's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,518), variance of 0.4393, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
78646UAB5 |
78646UAB5 Bond volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 78646UAB5 daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 78646UAB5's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of 78646UAB5 volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with 78646UAB5. They may decide to buy additional shares of 78646UAB5 at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving against 78646UAB5 Bond
78646UAB5 Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
78646UAB5's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 78646UAB5 bond compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 78646UAB5 bond's returns against your selected market. In other words, 78646UAB5's beta of 0.14 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk 78646UAB5 bond can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of 0.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 78646UAB5's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 78646UAB5's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze SAFE 285 15 Demand TrendCheck current 90 days 78646UAB5 correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)78646UAB5 Beta |
78646UAB5 standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.66 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by 78646UAB5's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of 78646UAB5's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in 78646uab5 bond tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in 78646UAB5.
SAFE 285 15 Bond Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which 78646UAB5 bond price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with 78646UAB5's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of 78646UAB5's bond to predict their future moves. A bond that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A bond with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile bond is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of 78646UAB5's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of bond volatility measures 78646UAB5's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict 78646UAB5's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the bond.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for 78646UAB5's current market price. This means that the bond will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on 78646UAB5's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. SAFE 285 15 Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
78646UAB5 Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 78646UAB5 has a beta of 0.1362 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 78646UAB5 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 78646UAB5 or 78646UAB5 sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 78646UAB5's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 78646UAB5 bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a 78646UAB5 Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a bond's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.78646UAB5 Bond Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of 78646UAB5 is -2518.26. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.44 and standard deviation of 0.66. The mean deviation of SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 is currently at 0.49. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
78646UAB5 Bond Return Volatility
78646UAB5 historical daily return volatility represents how much of 78646UAB5 bond's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 accepts 0.6628% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7717% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About 78646UAB5 Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of 78646UAB5 or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of 78646UAB5 may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to 78646UAB5's beta indicator, it measures the risk of 78646UAB5 and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of 78646UAB5 fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize 78646UAB5's volatility to invest better
Higher 78646UAB5's bond volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of SAFE 285 15 bond is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. SAFE 285 15 bond volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of SAFE 285 15 investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in 78646UAB5's bond can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of 78646UAB5's bond relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
78646UAB5 Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 1.17 times more volatile than SAFE 285 15 JAN 32. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than 78646UAB5. You can use SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The bond experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of 78646UAB5 to be traded at 84.62 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 and DJI is 0.12 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SAFE 285 15 JAN 32 and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
78646UAB5 Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of 78646UAB5's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 78646UAB5's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of 78646UAB5 bond's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.26) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4944 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,518) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6628 | |||
| Variance | 0.4393 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential bonds, we recommend comparing similar bonds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
78646UAB5 Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against 78646UAB5 as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. 78646UAB5's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, 78646UAB5's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to SAFE 285 15 JAN 32.
Other Information on Investing in 78646UAB5 Bond
78646UAB5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 78646UAB5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 78646UAB5 with respect to the benefits of owning 78646UAB5 security.