Viva Gold Corp Stock Volatility

VAUCF Stock  USD 0.12  0.01  7.69%   
Viva Gold appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Viva Gold Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0543, which indicates the firm had a 0.0543% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Viva Gold Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Viva Gold's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0499, coefficient of variation of 1868.39, and Semi Deviation of 5.28 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Viva Gold's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Viva Gold OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Viva daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Viva's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Viva Gold volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Viva Gold can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Viva Gold at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Viva Gold's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with Viva OTC Stock

  0.75ZIJMY Zijin Mining GroupPairCorr
  0.73ZIJMF Zijin Mining GroupPairCorr

Moving against Viva OTC Stock

  0.69NCMGY Newcrest MiningPairCorr
  0.67NCMGF Newcrest MiningPairCorr

Viva Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Viva Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Viva otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Viva otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Viva Gold's beta of -1.02 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Viva Gold otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Viva Gold Corp is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Viva Gold Corp is a potential penny stock. Although Viva Gold may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny otc stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Viva Gold Corp. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Viva instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny otcs that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Viva Gold Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Viva Gold correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Viva Beta

    
  -1.02  
Viva standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  7.81  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Viva Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Viva Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in viva otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Viva Gold.

Viva Gold Corp OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Viva Gold otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Viva Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Viva Gold's otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Viva Gold's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of otc volatility measures Viva Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Viva Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Viva Gold's current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Viva Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Viva Gold Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Viva Gold Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Viva Gold Corp has a beta of -1.0152 . This entails
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Viva Gold or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Viva Gold's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Viva otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Viva Gold Corp has an alpha of 0.5309, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Viva Gold's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how viva otc stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Viva Gold Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Viva Gold OTC Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Viva Gold is 1840.21. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 60.94 and standard deviation of 7.81. The mean deviation of Viva Gold Corp is currently at 4.87. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.02
σ
Overall volatility
7.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Viva Gold OTC Stock Return Volatility

Viva Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of Viva Gold otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 7.8066% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Viva Gold Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Viva Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Viva Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Viva's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Viva Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Viva Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Viva Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal properties in Nevada, the United States. Viva Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Langley, Canada. Viva Gold is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
Viva Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Viva OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Viva Gold's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Viva Gold's volatility to invest better

Higher Viva Gold's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Viva Gold Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Viva Gold Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Viva Gold Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Viva Gold's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Viva Gold's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Viva Gold Investment Opportunity

Viva Gold Corp has a volatility of 7.81 and is 10.41 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Viva Gold Corp is higher than 69 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Viva Gold Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The otc stock experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Viva Gold to be traded at $0.114 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Viva Gold Corp and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Viva Gold Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Viva Gold Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Viva Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viva Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Viva Gold otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Viva Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Viva Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Viva Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Viva Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Viva Gold Corp.

Complementary Tools for Viva OTC Stock analysis

When running Viva Gold's price analysis, check to measure Viva Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Viva Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Viva Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Viva Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Viva Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Viva Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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