Vanguard Municipal Bond Fund Volatility
| VMSXX Fund | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
At this stage we consider Vanguard Money Market Fund to be not too volatile. Vanguard Municipal Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for Vanguard Municipal Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Municipal's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0427, coefficient of variation of 812.4, and Variance of 0.0155 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.016%. Key indicators related to Vanguard Municipal's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Vanguard Municipal Money Market Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Vanguard daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Vanguard's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Vanguard Municipal volatility.
Vanguard |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Vanguard Municipal. They may decide to buy additional shares of Vanguard Municipal at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Vanguard Money Market Fund
| 1.0 | VMFXX | Vanguard Federal Money | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VSMPX | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VSTSX | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VITSX | Vanguard Total Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | PairCorr |
Vanguard Municipal Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Vanguard Municipal's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Vanguard money market fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Vanguard money market fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Vanguard Municipal's beta of -0.0141 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Vanguard Municipal money market fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Vanguard Municipal Bond exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 8.12 and kurtosis of 66.0. Vanguard Municipal Bond is a potential penny fund. Although Vanguard Municipal may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny money market funds are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Vanguard Municipal Bond. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Vanguard instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny funds that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Vanguard Municipal Bond Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Vanguard Municipal correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Vanguard Beta |
Vanguard standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.13 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Vanguard Municipal's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Vanguard Municipal's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in vanguard money market fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Vanguard Municipal.
Vanguard Municipal Bond Money Market Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Vanguard Municipal fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Vanguard Municipal's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Vanguard Municipal's money market fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A money market fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Vanguard Municipal's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Vanguard Municipal's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Vanguard Municipal's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the money market fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Vanguard Municipal's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Vanguard Municipal's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Vanguard Municipal Bond Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Vanguard Municipal Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Municipal Bond has a beta of -0.0141 . This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanguard Municipal Bond is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard Municipal or Money Market sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard Municipal's price will be affected by overall money market fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Vanguard Municipal Bond has an alpha of 0.0069, implying that it can generate a 0.0069 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Vanguard Municipal Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Vanguard Municipal Money Market Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Vanguard Municipal is 793.73. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.02 and standard deviation of 0.13. The mean deviation of Vanguard Municipal Bond is currently at 0.03. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.89 |
Vanguard Municipal Money Market Fund Return Volatility
Vanguard Municipal historical daily return volatility represents how much of Vanguard Municipal fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.1273% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7717% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Vanguard Municipal Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Vanguard Municipal or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Vanguard Municipal may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Vanguard's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Vanguard Municipal and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Vanguard Municipal fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Vanguard Municipal Money Market Funds investment objective is to seek to provide current income that is exempt from federal personal income taxes while maintaining liquidity and a stable share price of 1. As such it is considered one of the most conservative investment options offered by Vanguard. Although the fund invests in short-term, high-quality securities, the amount of income that a shareholder may receive will be largely dependent on the current interest rate environment and the availability of eligible municipal securities. Investors in a higher tax bracket who have a short-term savings goal and seek a competitive tax-free yield may wish to consider this option.
Vanguard Municipal's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Vanguard Money Market Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Vanguard Municipal's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Vanguard Municipal's volatility to invest better
Higher Vanguard Municipal's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Vanguard Municipal Bond fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Vanguard Municipal Bond fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Vanguard Municipal Bond investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Vanguard Municipal's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Vanguard Municipal's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Vanguard Municipal Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 5.92 times more volatile than Vanguard Municipal Bond. 1 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Vanguard Municipal. You can use Vanguard Municipal Bond to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The money market fund experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Vanguard Municipal to be traded at $0.99 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Vanguard Municipal Bond and DJI is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Municipal Bond and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Vanguard Municipal Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vanguard Municipal's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanguard Municipal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Vanguard Municipal money market fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0427 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.37) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0301 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 812.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1243 | |||
| Variance | 0.0155 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential money market funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Vanguard Municipal Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Vanguard Municipal as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Vanguard Municipal's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Vanguard Municipal's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Vanguard Municipal Bond.
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Money Market Fund
Vanguard Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Municipal security.
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