Digital China Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

000555 Stock   11.78  0.10  0.84%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Digital China Information on the next trading day is expected to be 13.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.56. Digital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Digital China stock prices and determine the direction of Digital China Information's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Digital China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Digital China's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 6.7 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 62.9 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Digital China price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Digital China Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Digital China Information on the next trading day is expected to be 13.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Digital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Digital China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Digital China Stock Forecast Pattern

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Digital China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Digital China's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Digital China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.12 and 17.52, respectively. We have considered Digital China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.78
13.32
Expected Value
17.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Digital China stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Digital China stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6649
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0622
SAESum of the absolute errors40.56
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Digital China Information historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Digital China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital China Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5811.7815.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9811.1815.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1612.2013.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digital China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digital China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digital China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digital China Information.

Other Forecasting Options for Digital China

For every potential investor in Digital, whether a beginner or expert, Digital China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Digital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Digital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Digital China's price trends.

Digital China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Digital China stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Digital China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digital China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Digital China Information Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Digital China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Digital China's current price.

Digital China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Digital China stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Digital China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Digital China stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Digital China Information entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Digital China Risk Indicators

The analysis of Digital China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Digital China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting digital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Digital Stock

Digital China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Digital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Digital with respect to the benefits of owning Digital China security.