Beijing Zhong Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

000970 Stock   10.41  0.16  1.51%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Zhong Ke on the next trading day is expected to be 10.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.73. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing Zhong stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing Zhong Ke's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Zhong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing Zhong's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 6.9 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 8.3 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Beijing Zhong is based on an artificially constructed time series of Beijing Zhong daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Beijing Zhong 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Zhong Ke on the next trading day is expected to be 10.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Zhong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Zhong Stock Forecast Pattern

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Beijing Zhong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijing Zhong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijing Zhong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.46 and 13.91, respectively. We have considered Beijing Zhong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.41
10.69
Expected Value
13.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Zhong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Zhong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.4541
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2049
MADMean absolute deviation0.4666
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0457
SAESum of the absolute errors24.7312
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Beijing Zhong Ke 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Zhong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Zhong Ke. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.2910.5113.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.388.6011.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Zhong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Zhong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Zhong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Zhong Ke.

Other Forecasting Options for Beijing Zhong

For every potential investor in Beijing, whether a beginner or expert, Beijing Zhong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijing Zhong's price trends.

Beijing Zhong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Zhong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Zhong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Zhong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Zhong Ke Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijing Zhong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijing Zhong's current price.

Beijing Zhong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Zhong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Zhong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Zhong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Zhong Ke entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Zhong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Zhong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Zhong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Zhong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Zhong security.