Hanjin Transportation Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

002320 Stock   18,980  520.00  2.82%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hanjin Transportation Co on the next trading day is expected to be 18,980 with a mean absolute deviation of 208.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,530. Hanjin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hanjin Transportation stock prices and determine the direction of Hanjin Transportation Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hanjin Transportation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Hanjin Transportation is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Hanjin Transportation Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hanjin Transportation Co on the next trading day is expected to be 18,980 with a mean absolute deviation of 208.83, mean absolute percentage error of 79,035, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,530.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hanjin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hanjin Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hanjin Transportation Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hanjin TransportationHanjin Transportation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hanjin Transportation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hanjin Transportation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hanjin Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18,979 and 18,981, respectively. We have considered Hanjin Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18,980
18,979
Downside
18,980
Expected Value
18,981
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hanjin Transportation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hanjin Transportation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.5503
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 16.5
MADMean absolute deviation208.8333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors12530.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Hanjin Transportation Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Hanjin Transportation. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Hanjin Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanjin Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,97918,98018,981
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,91715,91820,878
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanjin Transportation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanjin Transportation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanjin Transportation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanjin Transportation.

Other Forecasting Options for Hanjin Transportation

For every potential investor in Hanjin, whether a beginner or expert, Hanjin Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hanjin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hanjin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hanjin Transportation's price trends.

Hanjin Transportation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hanjin Transportation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hanjin Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hanjin Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hanjin Transportation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hanjin Transportation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hanjin Transportation's current price.

Hanjin Transportation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hanjin Transportation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hanjin Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hanjin Transportation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hanjin Transportation Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hanjin Transportation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hanjin Transportation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hanjin Transportation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hanjin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hanjin Transportation

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hanjin Transportation position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hanjin Transportation will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hanjin Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hanjin Transportation could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hanjin Transportation when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hanjin Transportation - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hanjin Transportation Co to buy it.
The correlation of Hanjin Transportation is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hanjin Transportation moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hanjin Transportation moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hanjin Transportation can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hanjin Stock

Hanjin Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanjin with respect to the benefits of owning Hanjin Transportation security.