NAURA Technology Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

002371 Stock   418.11  4.42  1.05%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NAURA Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 426.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,021. NAURA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NAURA Technology stock prices and determine the direction of NAURA Technology Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NAURA Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, NAURA Technology's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 8.4 B, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (4.2 B).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for NAURA Technology is based on an artificially constructed time series of NAURA Technology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

NAURA Technology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NAURA Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 426.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.91, mean absolute percentage error of 824.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,021.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NAURA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NAURA Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NAURA Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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NAURA Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NAURA Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NAURA Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 422.35 and 429.70, respectively. We have considered NAURA Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
418.11
422.35
Downside
426.02
Expected Value
429.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NAURA Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NAURA Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9596
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -9.782
MADMean absolute deviation18.9078
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0477
SAESum of the absolute errors1021.0212
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. NAURA Technology Group 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for NAURA Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAURA Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
376.30427.62431.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
335.78339.42459.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
400.62442.47484.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.482.722.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NAURA Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NAURA Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NAURA Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NAURA Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for NAURA Technology

For every potential investor in NAURA, whether a beginner or expert, NAURA Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NAURA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NAURA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NAURA Technology's price trends.

NAURA Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NAURA Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NAURA Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NAURA Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NAURA Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NAURA Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NAURA Technology's current price.

NAURA Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NAURA Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NAURA Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NAURA Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NAURA Technology Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NAURA Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of NAURA Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NAURA Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting naura stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in NAURA Stock

NAURA Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether NAURA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NAURA with respect to the benefits of owning NAURA Technology security.