Jiangsu Yoke Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

002409 Stock   96.51  3.83  4.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Yoke Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 96.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.22. Jiangsu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiangsu Yoke stock prices and determine the direction of Jiangsu Yoke Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu Yoke's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Jiangsu Yoke's stock price is about 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jiangsu, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jiangsu Yoke's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jiangsu Yoke Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jiangsu Yoke's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.192
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.44
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.16
Wall Street Target Price
89.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.247
Using Jiangsu Yoke hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jiangsu Yoke Technology from the perspective of Jiangsu Yoke response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Yoke Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 96.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.22.

Jiangsu Yoke after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 95.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiangsu Yoke to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Jiangsu Yoke's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 4.1 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 395.7 M.

Jiangsu Yoke Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jiangsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jiangsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jiangsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Jiangsu Yoke simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jiangsu Yoke Technology are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jiangsu Yoke Technology prices get older.

Jiangsu Yoke Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Yoke Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 96.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87, mean absolute percentage error of 6.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu Yoke's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangsu Yoke Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jiangsu YokeJiangsu Yoke Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jiangsu Yoke Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangsu Yoke's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu Yoke's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.39 and 99.63, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Yoke's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
96.51
96.51
Expected Value
99.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu Yoke stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu Yoke stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1001
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3527
MADMean absolute deviation1.8703
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.024
SAESum of the absolute errors112.22
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jiangsu Yoke Technology forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jiangsu Yoke observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jiangsu Yoke

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu Yoke Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.1095.2298.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.6688.78106.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
64.6581.6298.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.290.320.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu Yoke

For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu Yoke's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu Yoke's price trends.

Jiangsu Yoke Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu Yoke stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Yoke could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Yoke by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangsu Yoke Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangsu Yoke's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangsu Yoke's current price.

Jiangsu Yoke Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu Yoke stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu Yoke shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu Yoke stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu Yoke Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangsu Yoke Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangsu Yoke's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu Yoke's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Yoke financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Yoke security.