Changzhou Almaden Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Changzhou Almaden is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Changzhou Almaden Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Changzhou Almaden Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Changzhou Almaden Co on the next trading day is expected to be 16.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.05.

Changzhou Almaden Stock Forecast Pattern

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Changzhou Almaden Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Changzhou Almaden stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Changzhou Almaden stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Changzhou Almaden Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Changzhou Almaden. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Changzhou Almaden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Changzhou Almaden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 14.47 17.54 20.61 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 13.83 16.90 19.97 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.15 0.15 0.15 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Changzhou Almaden. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Changzhou Almaden's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Changzhou Almaden's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Changzhou Almaden.

Other Forecasting Options for Changzhou Almaden

For every potential investor in Changzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Changzhou Almaden's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Changzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Changzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Changzhou Almaden's price trends.

Changzhou Almaden Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Changzhou Almaden Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Changzhou Almaden's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Changzhou Almaden's current price.

Changzhou Almaden Market Strength Events

Changzhou Almaden Risk Indicators

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Changzhou Stock

Balance Sheet Statement Details

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