Avary Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 002938 Stock | 54.57 2.57 4.94% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avary Holding Shenzhen on the next trading day is expected to be 43.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.42. Avary Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Avary Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Avary Holding Shenzhen's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Avary Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Avary Holding's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Avary Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avary Holding Shenzhen from the perspective of Avary Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avary Holding Shenzhen on the next trading day is expected to be 43.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.42. Avary Holding after-hype prediction price | CNY 54.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avary |
Avary Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avary price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avary using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avary charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Avary Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avary Holding Shenzhen on the next trading day is expected to be 58.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Avary Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Avary Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Avary Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Avary Holding | Avary Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Avary Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Avary Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Avary Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.92 and 61.56, respectively. We have considered Avary Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Avary Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Avary Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2193 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3722 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0272 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 83.7046 |
Predictive Modules for Avary Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avary Holding Shenzhen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Avary Holding
For every potential investor in Avary, whether a beginner or expert, Avary Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Avary Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Avary. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Avary Holding's price trends.Avary Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Avary Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Avary Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avary Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Avary Holding Shenzhen Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Avary Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Avary Holding's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Avary Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Avary Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Avary Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Avary Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Avary Holding Shenzhen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Avary Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Avary Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Avary Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting avary stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 11.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Avary Stock
Avary Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avary Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avary with respect to the benefits of owning Avary Holding security.