Stic Investments Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

026890 Stock   7,800  130.00  1.69%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stic Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 7,800 with a mean absolute deviation of 142.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,520. Stic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Stic Investments stock prices and determine the direction of Stic Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stic Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Stic Investments - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Stic Investments prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Stic Investments price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Stic Investments.

Stic Investments Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stic Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 7,800 with a mean absolute deviation of 142.01, mean absolute percentage error of 40,390, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,520.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stic Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stic Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Stic InvestmentsStic Investments Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Stic Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stic Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stic Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,798 and 7,803, respectively. We have considered Stic Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7,800
7,800
Expected Value
7,803
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stic Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stic Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 27.8402
MADMean absolute deviation142.0053
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors8520.3199
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Stic Investments observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Stic Investments observations.

Predictive Modules for Stic Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stic Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,7987,8007,802
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,6406,6428,580
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7,3347,9168,497
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stic Investments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stic Investments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stic Investments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stic Investments.

Other Forecasting Options for Stic Investments

For every potential investor in Stic, whether a beginner or expert, Stic Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stic Investments' price trends.

Stic Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stic Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stic Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stic Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stic Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stic Investments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stic Investments' current price.

Stic Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stic Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stic Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stic Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stic Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stic Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stic Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stic Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Stic Investments

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Stic Investments position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Stic Investments will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Stic Stock

  0.77078020 EBEST Investment SecPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Stic Investments could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Stic Investments when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Stic Investments - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Stic Investments to buy it.
The correlation of Stic Investments is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Stic Investments moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Stic Investments moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Stic Investments can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Stic Stock

Stic Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stic with respect to the benefits of owning Stic Investments security.